Commodity Conversations Weekly Press Summary

Cargill officially exited the world of sugar trading this week. It confirmed earlier talk that it was selling its stake in Alvean, the Joint Venture (JV) with Brazilian sugar giant Copersucar which deals with a fifth of the global sugar trade. Cargill said the sale was part of a wider portfolio review that will see it remain in the business of sugar ingredients but focus on its core agriculture businesses. 

Louis Dreyfus continues to have a sugar trading unit but announced it was selling its US-based Imperial Sugar business to US Sugar, just a month after announcing the sale of its Brazilian unit Biosev to Raizen, the JV between Cosan and Shell. Cosan’s CFO said that the acquisition of Biosev will boost the value of Raizen ahead of an upcoming initial public offering (IPO) and would attract so-called green investors given the ethanol angle. Sources estimated the IPO could raise BRL 13 billion (USD 2.25 billion). Raizen and its joint venture with Wilmar, RAW, exported 5.49 million mt of Brazilian sugar in 2020, Brazil’s biggest sugar exporter. Alvean came second with 4.8 million mt, followed by Louis Dreyfus with 3.86 million mt. 

The consortium of NGOs Chain Reaction Research accused Bunge of being the biggest buyer of soybean from deforested land in Brazil’s Cerrado in 2020, equivalent to 131.5 sq km. The second position went to Cargill but for an area 12 times smaller. The report conceded that the deforestation was not illegal as farmers in the Cerrado are allowed to deforest 80% of their land, compared to 20% in the Amazon. However, it argued that consumers were increasingly concerned about deforestation, regardless of whether it is legal. 

Sourcing deforestation-free soy is an increasingly big headache for the global aquaculture industry. The US Soybean Export Council (USSEC) said “There are no viable alternatives to soy that can provide the volume of protein needed in [farmed fish diets] to keep up with increasing demand.” Cargill’s new chief sustainability officer suggested that US soybean could step in as part of the solution. The USSEC estimated that, in terms of land use change, US soybean has a 319 times lower impact on the climate than Brazilian soybean. Cargill added, however, that it was necessary to source from various origins to ensure supply chain resilience. Besides, an official from ProTerra argued that it made more sense to focus on spreading sustainable agriculture practices everywhere instead of switching origins. 

ADM forecast that US demand for soybean oil could surge by 500 million pounds (227,000mt) in 2021 due to the increase in renewable diesel production capacity fuelled by government incentives. Additional demand could reach 15 billion pounds (6.8 million mt) within the next 4 years. According to Bloomberg, many of the biggest agricultural traders, from Cargill to Bunge, are investing in boosting their soy crushing capacity in anticipation. Bunge, however, said it was being careful about investments in case the bubble bursts. 

A new study found that 64% of the world’s agricultural land was at risk of pesticide pollution, while 31% was estimated to be at high risk. Farmers are the first affected, with 44% of farm workers globally experiencing at least one accidental pesticide poisoning every year, according to a recent meta-analysis. One of the researchers involved argued that the relatively low immediate fatality rate from the poisoning concealed chronic diseases and the farm productivity lost due to illnesses. The analysis noted that, over the last 35 years, the use of pesticides had increased by 81% globally. The growth has been uneven, from a 500% increase in South America to only 3% in Europe. 

European Union agricultural stakeholders, however, are worried that EU restrictions, such as those on gene editing, will delay innovation. Several MEPs argued that implementing new restrictions on farmers, including environmental restrictions, in the absence of viable alternatives would threaten the bloc’s competitiveness and farmers’ economic survival. On the other hand, the European Commission said it is planning to incentivise organic aquaculture which can “help meet consumer demand for diversified high quality food produced in a way that respects the environment and ensures animal welfare.”

This summary was produced by ECRUU

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Commodity Conversations Weekly Press Summary

The UK’s Food and Drink Federation (FDF) said exports to the EU dropped by 75% in January, when compared to December, because of Brexit. Nonetheless, a UK minister claimed that trade flows had returned to normal levels in early February. A House of Lords sub-committee seemed to disagree, however, as it noted that non-tariff barriers would continue to slow trade for a while. Exporters now have to deal with more paperwork which increases costs. Moreover, the UK delayed the implementation of customs checks for EU imports until October. As a result, the FDF warned that the “full impacts of the end of the transition on imports from the EU will not be seen until 2022.”

In China, meanwhile, COFCO is working on merging its domestic units with COFCO International ahead of a potential Initial Public Offering (IPO), sources suggested. The IPO, estimated at USD 5 billion, could happen later in 2021 or at the start of 2022. The new entity would be key to China’s food security, while the unit handled over 100 million mt of commodities in 2018, generating USD 31 billion in revenue.

The global availability of containers remains tight following the surge of imports from China, but Moller-Maersk suggested that the situation should return to normal in the first half of the year. The lack of containers is already leading to supply issues, however, as coffee stocks in the US are reportedly running dry. The shortage might also be due to a fall in output in Brazil, while a broker commented that the coffee market could be entering into a structural deficit. 

The blockage of the Suez Canal caused by the Ever Given container ship could potentially add even more delays to global shipments. Some 12% of global trade passes through the canal and hundreds of ships are currently waiting for the vessel to be moved. Tug boats could free the ship within the next few days which would minimise the impact, although a delay of a week or more would have major implications. 

As if the situation wasn’t complicated enough, the number of containers that fell off cargo ships surged since November 2020, with 2,980 containers lost, more than twice the annual average. Shipping firms blamed the bad weather and storms. Experts, however, explained that the container shortage pushed companies to use older vessels and to pack them as much as they can which increased the risk of losses. A company that lost containers mentioned that “if anybody has investments in deep-sea salvage, there’s some beautiful product down there”.

A new study published by the FAO this week estimated that global food production was responsible for 34% of total greenhouse gas emissions in 2015, down from 44% in 1990 but much higher in absolute terms. Out of the total, 71% of emissions came from the farm and land use, while the other 29% came from distribution. Researchers hope the study will help design mitigation measures to make our food more sustainable. Danone already acknowledged the report and highlighted its own efforts to reduce its environmental impact. 

Danone’s former chair and CEO was focused on purpose-driven capitalism but a small investor was able to push for his removal based on his governance and financial performance. Bluebell Capital was able to form a consensus among large shareholders to replace him. Activists investors are reportedly ready to push for changes again after a pause during the pandemic. For one, Robeco Institutional Asset Management, which manages USD 2.4 trillion in assets, is pushing for changes to the EU’s CAP. The revised program needs to account for climate targets when calculating payments, the group argued. 

Another report published this week suggested that Europe and North America will reach peak meat consumption by 2025. Alternatives, such as plant proteins or cultured meat, will continue to improve while consumers’ preference will keep shifting towards healthier and more sustainable products, the paper suggested. The alternative meat market should reach USD 290 billion by 2035. 

Investors certainly believe in the future of alternative meat products, as Eat Just just raised a further USD 200 million, bringing total investments to USD 650 million. The group makes egg alternatives using plants and cultivated meat. Similarly, Meatable raised USD 47 million this week. The group cultivates meat without using the controversial fetal bovine serum, although the process currently costs USD 10,000/lb. 

Being stuck at home has changed the eating habits of many people but this journalist discovered that eating three meals a day is not actually based on nutritional or biological science. Eating three meals a day is a recent consequence of industrialisation and nutritionists suggest that eating when you are hungry instead of at meal times can be just as healthy, as long as the total quantity of food remains more or less constant. The journalist took this to heart to continue having his one Big Meal per day. 

This summary was produced by ECRUU

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Women in Coffee

In 2020, I interviewed Shirin Moayyad of Sweet Bean Coffee for my book Crop to Cup and my blog. I now invite her back to take part in our ‘Women in Commodities’ series.

Good morning, Shirin. You have recently started selling a range of coffees produced by women. Could you tell me a little about your motivation for that?

There is a belief in my parents’ faith that if you have two children, one boy and one girl, you should educate the girl first as she is likely to have fewer opportunities in life than the boy. My parents raised me with this early belief in affirmative action.

When I talked with David Griswold, the founder of Sustainable Harvest, he told me that women-produced coffee is often better than men-produced coffee. Is that your experience?

Dave introduced me to Fatima Ismael, a lady cooperative coffee producer and agronomist in Nicaragua. In her case, and in the case of the women with whom she works, it is true that women-produced coffee is better than men-produced coffee.

Fatima compares woman farmers to women as mothers. We care for the earth as we care for our children. Of course, that isn’t the case everywhere, but it seems to be in the case for Fatima and Nicaragua.

David also mentioned that paying women for coffee means that more money stays with the family than when you pay men. Is that a factor in your decision to sell women-produced coffee?

The Partnership for Gender Equity – a spin-off from the Coffee Quality Institute – is one of the more prominent and more renowned initiatives around women in coffee. It estimates that for every dollar that a woman coffee grower earns, she will spend 90 cents on the household; a man would pay 40 cents. Even if those figures are not entirely accurate, they do give an idea of the situation.

Nicaragua is well-known for women coffee growers. Is it a cultural thing?

You are right; there are a lot of women coffee growers in Nicaragua. During the civil war, the men were away, and the women had to run the farms and work the land. It helped the development of women in farming in the country.

Women supply 70 per cent of the labour force on coffee farms in Ethiopia, but few are educated, and many are illiterate. In Brazil, by comparison, I met women coffee growers who tended to be from the higher echelons of society, well-educated and well-off. It doesn’t mean all women farmers in Brazil fall into this category, but that was my experience there.

But it can also vary within countries. If you take the island of Sumatra, there are two distinct regions from which we source speciality coffee: North Sumatra and Ace. Women dominate the supply chain in North Sumatra, but in Ace, men dominate the supply chain.

In Costa Rica, I came across two radically different lady coffee farmers. One was from an enlightened family background where, at the age of 14, her father taught her how to drive the family truck, prune trees, apply fertilizer and manage the entire farm. The second lady grower had been physically abused and nearly beaten to death by her parents and then her husband. They both told her that she was too stupid to drive a car or manage a coffee farm. The police eventually put the husband in prison, and the woman now successfully runs the farm with her daughter.

Abuse tends to stop when a woman starts bringing money home. In their book Half the Sky, the authors write about a woman in Burundi whose husband had abused her until she got micro-financing for a business. Once she did, her husband realized her economic value – her potential to bring money into the family – he stopped his abuse.

What is holding women back in the coffee world?

Women may grow the coffee, but they rarely own the land. Land ownership is a critical requirement for belonging to a cooperative. Everyone likes to think that cooperatives work to benefit everyone in the community, but they often exclude women growers because they can’t prove they own the land.

Not being a cooperative member means that women have less access to credit, agricultural inputs, training, and market information. They are denied leadership and are cut off from decision making. Also, not being a cooperative member often excludes women farmers from the training that many well-intentioned foreign NGOs might offer.

In many countries, women grow the coffee but men transport and sell it. Women not only have to grow coffee, but they also have to participate in the supply chain. When women are doing 70 per cent of the labour, you have to include then in the sale of their produce. They can, and must, contribute to making the coffee sector more viable, healthy, quality-orientated and profitable.

What more could we do to promote women in coffee producing countries?

As a coffee roaster and buyer, my personal choice is that quality comes first. If I am faced with two coffees of equal quality and one is produced by a woman and one by a man, I will choose the former. For example, I have recently started a line of Sumatran coffee made by a women’s cooperative. I had a choice of various equally good coffees from the region, and I chose the women-grown one. I will not discriminate against quality for gender equality.

If you are a coffee buyer and you have a choice between equally outstanding coffees produced by both men and women, I urge you to choose the one made by the latter. Encouraging more women growers will improve coffee quality and be beneficial for the families that produce it. Doing so will strengthen the integrity of the value chain and make it more economically, environmentally and socially sustainable.

I understand that you have recently been crowdfunding for your start-up and to promote women in coffee. Could you tell me a little more about that?

I am crowdfunding to finance a new roasting machine. I started with a small roaster, but my business is growing fast, and I need more capacity. Having a larger roaster will give me leverage to buy more women-produced coffee. I have three different women-produced coffees, but as I grow, I will source more.

Thank you, Shirin, for your time and input.

© Commodity Conversations ® 2021

Commodity Conversations Weekly Press Summary

During an industry event focused on the hidden costs of our food system, the head of the Global Alliance for the Future of Food said the current metrics used to measure productivity in agriculture, such as yield per hectare, were problematic. He argued that they hid the environmental and health costs, such as soil erosion and water contamination. Instead, the Alliance is working on “true costs accounting” (TCA) which includes all hidden costs. A professor said disclosing the TCA would help consumers and the whole supply chain make better-informed decisions and bring to light the true costs of their choices. 

The panellists agreed that it was important to focus on “regenerative and restorative practices on soil” as well as on agroecology. Bill Gates and the head of Impossible Foods, however, argue for a different approach. They suggested that genetically modified seeds and chemical herbicides used right would be much more effective at cutting carbon emissions when compared to organic farming which, they argue, is too land-intensive. 

An analysis by The Guardian Seascape found that over one-third of seafood products could be mislabelled globally. The study, based on DNA technology, found the highest amount of wrong labels in the UK, Canada and the US. Expensive seafood products were often mislabeled and contained a cheaper alternative, such as labelling shark catfish as cod or haddock. In some cases, wrong labels concealed endangered or illegally caught species. The worst cases were prawn balls sold in Singapore and China that contained pig elements as well as the pufferfish family – which is known to be potentially deadly. The situation is particularly bad in restaurants with numbers showing that one-third of European restaurants sold mislabelled seafood. 

The huge transhipment involved in the supply chain makes it prone to mistakes but the data suggests that most of it is clear fraud. It is so profitable, in fact, that the supply chain is rife with organised crime. The head of a DNA lab analysis said that you could make CAD 1 million (USD 800,000) in profit by labelling a container of pangasius catfish as red snapper. Risks are low, with very few checks and a fine that wouldn’t cross CAD 50,000 (USD 40,000). 

The most profitable, apparently, is eel which can be worth more than gold. Eels are in high demand in Asia but don’t breed in captivity, making them impossible to farm. There is very little Japanese eel left, pushing buyers further and further away looking for American or European eels instead. Despite export bans, this has led to overfishing and endangering the eel population in several places around the world. One woman involved in the business said eels were “the ultimate black box of global seafood,” in other words, impossible to trace without a DNA test. That’s why conservationists and sustainability groups are pushing for increased use of DNA tests. 

In Canada, Organic Ocean is using a sort of DNA barcode system to identify living species, with which they created an independent authentication programme that goes as far as revealing the product’s river of origin. It works better than blockchain, which fails if the fish has been wrongly labelled from the start. Overall, however, industry stakeholders lament that there seems to be limited interest both from consumers and governments to push for a more transparent seafood supply chain. A researcher in South Africa noted that “many people know, and care more, about the provenance of the wine they drink than the seafood they eat.”

Palm oil giant Sime Darby put together an Expert Stakeholder Human Rights Assessment Commission on March 1 in a bid to address allegations of forced labour that led the US to ban palm imports from the company back in December. However, one of the commission’s NGO members already resigned and another is threatening to follow suit in response to Sime Darby’s decision to sue anti-trafficking group Liberty Shared. The court case goes against the intention of the commission, one of the commission’s members said. 

A study in Indonesia’s West Kalimantan found that two-third of the land conflicts involving palm oil companies and locals remained unresolved even after over a decade. The study found that governments support companies over locals, sometimes disregarding court rulings. Besides, most disputes are not submitted to certification bodies like the Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil (RSPO) because the procedure is said to be too complicated and locals have limited trust in them. 

This comes as Greenpeace published a new report in which it argues that sustainable certification processes overall fail to stop the destruction of forests and the ecosystem. Instead, Greenpeace urges governments to get companies to prove that their supply chain is free from deforestation. While the Palm Oil Monitor complained that the report unfairly focused on palm oil, several sustainable certifications actually agreed with Greenpeace, such as RSPO and the Round Table on Responsible Soy Association (RTRS), both of which stated that certification was only one part of the solution.

This summary was produced by ECRUU

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Your Career in Commodities

In their excellent and must-read book, The World for Sale, Javier Blas and Jack Farchy have pulled together what the FT calls ‘rollicking yarns’ from the last fifty years of commodity trading. The authors have written the book like a spy thriller. James Bond (in the form of Vitol’s Ian Taylor) braves missile attacks to provide oil to fuel the Arab Spring. The evil genius Blofeld (in the form of Marc Rich) manipulates markets, breaks sanctions and trades with the enemy.

Ian Taylor and Marc Rich have sadly passed away, which makes me wonder to what extent the book reflects the current reality of commodity trading. When the world of trading is trying to increase diversity, what impact will the book have on a young person, particularly a young woman, thinking of a career in the business? Would it be like a young person joining the CIA or MI6 searching for heroic derring-do, only to discover that modern-day spying is more about computer-based data management?

The question, therefore, is: ‘If you read The World for Sale, would you be disappointed if you joined the world of commodities?’ My answer is: ‘It won’t be what you expect, but you won’t be disappointed.’

Commodity trading has always been about data – what we used to call ‘statistics’ or ‘supply and demand analysis’ – which commodity professionals use to predict future price behaviour. The weather is probably the most critical variable in agricultural commodities, but there are many others, politics and government intervention being high on the list.

Making sense of all this data –  bringing all the various elements together to form a compelling picture – is like doing a jigsaw puzzle on the deck of a yacht in a Force 8 gale. There will always be missing pieces, and you will have to make difficult decisions without full information.

You will spend a lot of time on that yacht if you join a financial institution as a ‘paper’ trader. Your work will be almost 100 per cent analysis, but you will quickly get used to being buffeted around by the gales that regularly sweep through the markets. Although I prefer physical commodity trading, you will have a challenging and rewarding career as a paper trader. You will also be adding value in terms of market liquidity and price discovery.

Physical commodity merchandising is about sustainable and efficient supply chain management. You can define it as ‘transforming commodities in space (geography), time (storage) and form (processing)’.

As you move your particular commodity along the supply chain, you will discover market inefficiencies and mispricing. These could, for example, make your corn worth more as ethanol than animal feed. You could find that it is cheaper to supply your Chinese wheat buyers from the US than Australia.

Most market inefficiencies occur when poor crops or government interference disrupt supply chains. The Trump trade wars with China meant that Brazilian soy suddenly increased in value compared to US soy. Russian export taxes on grain suddenly made other origins more competitive.

You may do all your analysis and discover that the market is not mispricing the various differentials but is mispricing the entire supply and demand for a commodity. When that happens, the flat (outright) price will move. This occurred during the super cycle of the 2000s when the world underestimated Chinese demand (for everything) while overestimating the world’s ability to supply it.

As you merchandise your physical commodity, you might, if you are lucky, earn a tiny margin at each stage of the supply chain. However, you will be more likely to make your living as a commodity trader by taking advantage of small market inefficiencies – mispricing – all along the supply chain. By doing so, you will not only make a profit; you will also make the market more efficient, ensuring that it sends the correct price signals to market participants. This is especially true for the flat price. Futures markets reflect the future: prices move in advance of a shortage or surplus, solving the problem before it happens.

As well as making your supply chain efficient, you will also have to make it economically, environmentally and socially sustainable. Your customers will demand nothing less, even if, unfortunately, they won’t pay you extra for it. Sustainability is now a ‘given’. In achieving this, you will find yourself working alongside – rather than in conflict with – NGOs, certification agencies and other not-for-profit foundations.

As I discovered when I wrote my book about coffee, you may also find that you are using your supply chain in reverse, helping NGOs to implement and effect change at the origin.

As well as managing the traceability of your supply chain, you will also have to manage the risks in it. You can hedge some of your price risks on the derivative markets, but most differentials are impossible to hedge. The skills you learn will enable you to trade those differentials successfully.

You will also have to manage counterparty risk – a client defaulting on you – and country risk – a government changing the rules on you. You may also have to deal with fraud, drug traffickers and other possible criminal activity.

A senior official from Olam recently told me that the health and safety of employees is the number one risk that his company faces – and that cybersecurity is number two.  You will have to deal with both.

You won’t be able to merchandise commodities if you don’t have suppliers and customers. The people you will deal with will probably be from different countries; you will have to become accustomed to dealing with people from other races, cultures and creeds. Many of these people will become your friends.

Meeting and interacting with clients was always the most enriching part of my life as a commodity trader. One week I could be wandering in the cane fields in Brazil, Thailand or India. The next, I could be walking the streets of Manhattan visiting hedge fund managers.

You will also have to work in a team. The movies depict James Bond as a lone wolf who saves the world single-handedly, but he would not work alone in real life. The best teams are diversified, with people of different skillsets, of different genders, and from other races and backgrounds. Commodity trading is a global business, and you will soon lose any prejudices that you may still be carrying around with you.

Finally, if you want an idea of what to expect from a career in commodity trading, you couldn’t do better than to watch this video interview of Dave Berhends, one of the world’s top coffee traders.

In their review of the World for Sale, The Times writes that commodity traders are the true Masters of the Universe. Fortunately, that is not true, but our business is still a great one to be involved in – especially if you are a woman.

Image by Peggy und Marco Lachmann-Anke from Pixabay

© Commodity Conversations ® 2021

Commodity Conversations Weekly Press Summary

The US is on track to export record amounts of corn and soybeans in 2020/21, although it has come a long way since it was considered as the “world’s breadbasket” in the mid-20th century. The US was able to dominate global grain exports thanks to a technological advantage but competition from other countries surged along with high commodity prices, a strong US Dollar and failed US crops in 2010 and 2012. For example, the US’ share of global corn exports has dropped to about 25%, compared to almost 50% three decades ago.

A lot of the competition came from South America, Canada, Australia and Russia. However, a new contender could further upend global trade flows: China. The country’s latest five-year plan unveiled a project to set up industrial farms in large agricultural belts to boost output and reduce food insecurity. The ambition comes as China was forced to import record amounts of food in 2020 because of the damage caused by the African Swine Fever, along with geopolitical considerations created by the coronavirus pandemic. 

The US lost its position as the world’s largest exporter of soybean to Brazil three years ago and Brazil is now the largest exporter of beef and chicken as well. A recent government study found that the country fed 10% of the world’s population. Nevertheless, mounting concerns over deforestation are shining a negative light on food sourced in Brazil. A coalition of French NGOs filed a lawsuit against the Casino supermarket for selling meat tied to deforestation in the Amazon. Casino owns the largest retail stores in Colombia and Brazil and has been criticised for its supply deals with JBS.

Major commodity traders announced that a blockchain platform called Covantis was now operational. The platform simplifies, through digitalisation, the transactions of agricultural products, starting with bulk shipment from Brazil. The goal is to add more countries and execution processes later on. Covantis was spearheaded by ADM, Bunge, Cargill, Cofco, Louis Dreyfus and Viterra.

The UN launched its most comprehensive report of food waste this week, called the Food Waste Index Report 2021. The report showed that consumers and restaurants wasted 17% of their food supply, while the total food waste reaches 33% when including producers and suppliers. Researchers calculated that wasted food was responsible for 8-10% of global carbon emissions. Somewhat surprisingly, the amount of wasted food does not seem to vary across different countries. 

The World Economic Forum highlighted that some good progress to reduce waste has already been made by retailers thanks to technology and a focus on resource efficiency. The Internet of Things (IoT) can be a great way to check on products and has already helped reduce waste through better temperature monitoring. Another, perhaps less cutting edge solution, is being trialed in Singapore: using wasted food to feed black fly larvae. The amount of food wasted in Singapore grew 20% over the past decade and some food is difficult to recycle. The black fly, however, can actually eat all types of foods and can then be used as feed or fertiliser. 

The EU announced that it will look to impose a mandatory origin label to more food products as part of its Farm to Fork (F2F) platform. Environmentalists and lawmakers welcomed the decision and suggested that it would allow consumers to focus on purchasing more sustainable products. On the other hand, some experts warned against associating origin labels with sustainability as a shorter supply chain does not necessarily equate to a more sustainable product. Moreover, the concept mixes up many different goals, like supporting local farmers and ensuring quality. 

Some EU consumers have expressed concern that Canada’s buttergate scandal would spread through Europe via butter imports. Consumers in Canada started complaining that their butter was now harder to spread and some suggested this was because of the use of palm oil as a feed. In response, Canadian producers said no changes had been made in their feed, as it added that using palm oil was a common and benign practice used all over the world. Nonetheless, the EU’s milk traders association Eucolait reassured consumers that the bloc does not import butter from Canada

Another food scandal made headlines this week concerning the theft of sunken beers. Artisanal beer brewers in Argentina attached 700L of beer to a sunken ship 20 metres underwater to experiment with beer making under pressure. Unfortunately, just one day before the barrels were due to be retrieved, unknown divers stole the whole load. The brewer was disappointed, especially as he explained that the liquid needed to be mixed first, and what was stolen was “a lukewarm, gasless liquor that would be very difficult to drink.”

This summary was produced by ECRUU

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A woman in coffee

 

To celebrate International Women’s Day, we post a blog that Shirin Moayyad, the founder of Sweet Bean Coffee, wrote in 2019 when she was first setting up her business. Next week, I will talk more with her about women in coffee. The following week, I will look at what we can all do to encourage more women into the world of commodity trading. Here is Shirin’s story:

I have now worked for nearly 30 years in coffee. I am at long last the founder and owner of my own coffee business. I have been in charge of a coffee farm in the remote Highlands of Papua New Guinea, where I also managed a roasting and exporting company. I travelled the world buying coffees for Peet’s. I guided National Geographic’s film crew through the coffee fields of Ethiopia and Colombia. I’ve had a long and varied coffee career, taking advantage of every opportunity to expand my knowledge, further my skills and experience as much as possible. And yet, it still comes as a surprise when I face gender discrimination.

Last week my partner and I dismantled a 33-year-old kitchen we’d purchased online to refurbish for my new roastery’s cupping lab. Armed with crowbars, hatchet, saws and a mountain of tools, we set to. Mid-morning, the homeowner invited us in for a coffee break and began asking about our plans: why we needed this kitchen, what we planned to do with it etc. Eyes widening with interest, he asked a whole series of questions. Where they concerned construction and refurbishment, my partner answered. Where it had to do with coffee, Didier directed the gentleman to me, saying, “Shirin is the coffee in this equation; she’s the one to answer that.” Kindly though he was, the gentleman only looked at me briefly, then immediately turned back to Didier, as if in subconscious denial that I, a woman, could be the business owner, the authority, or the one who knew the answers on coffee.

Don’t get me wrong. I am in awe of my partner’s abilities. I think it’s nothing short of miraculous, all the things he is capable of doing. I don’t know how to sand and spackle a wall. I don’t know how to wield a crowbar or saw through a granite counter. My mother did. But I don’t. She grew up in privation in WWII, Germany. Where you had to know how to do everything. My dad was the poet, the dreamer, the aesthetic; my mum was the doer, the powerhouse who made it all happen. She got shit done. She is, I realise, the person who most influenced who I am today.

Still, coming back to kitchen dismantling day. I found myself astounded by the gentleman’s assumption that it had to be Didier who knew coffee; he was the authority simply because he is a man. Maybe once upon a time in my career, this wouldn’t have struck me so much. But now, some 30 years on, it comes down as being just ludicrous.

It was 20 years ago in Singapore when I first found myself frustrated by the blatant discrimination of these assumptions. I was head of coffee, roaster and buyer for a 28-shop chain when I hired a mate of mine from Australia to come roast. He was a lovely bloke; a tall, amiable guy, very competent and a big help to me. But he was my employee, my hire, my direct report. And I lived the same frustration there, of facing implicit assumptions that he was boss, and I was just some little sidekick, an assistant perhaps. Inevitably, his authority was sought, his opinions solicited, the assumption made that he was The Man. It wasn’t his fault, mind, it just was that way. And I was young enough not to be too irritated. But now, some 30 years on….

There was that origin trip once when we were a group of coffee professionals on a bus, headed out to a farm visit. A chap sat next to me and proceeded to soliloquise on his extensive coffee experience, all the marvellous things he’d achieved at origin. I wasn’t sure when he found time to breathe, he was so enthralled with recounting his own achievements. I forgot what topic it was that prompted me to interject mildly how yes, I had also found XYZ issue on the 98-acre coffee farm that I managed in the remote mountains of Papua New Guinea. There was a moment of silence when my words broke through the waterfall of his monologue, and his face went blank. Dumbstruck. Silent. I watched the virtual cogwheels turning as he struggled to compute the information he had just heard. In the event, it was clearly too much for him to compute since, after that brief respite, he went right back to blathering on about his record of achievements. Sigh. It wasn’t yet 30 years then, but it was starting to irritate me.

My mum isn’t the only one to have inspired me over the years. There are others: women in coffee the world over who have been there in one form or another as I learned this path.

Erna Knutsen was one such wonder. I was travelling to California on a trade mission to represent Papua New Guinea – because, by then, I was managing a coffee roasting company there that had achieved considerable export success. My colleagues at home told me to contact Erna as she was the US importer of our finest estate coffee and would look after me. And indeed, she did. Erna invited me to her cupping table whilst evaluating a quality claim on a pricey auction lot Kenyan. Erna was the woman who coined the phrase speciality coffee, the grande dame of our industry who broke the glass ceiling and brazened her way to a place at the cupping table. She was awesome. And here, without knowing anything about me, she allowed me to cup alongside her. I trembled at the honour.

Later that afternoon, I experienced the true flamboyance of this trailblazing woman. She’d booked us a table at San Francisco’s Boulevard Restaurant…a place so fancy to my Papua New Guinean bush eyes, I couldn’t help but be impressed. And there she was, sporting a leopard skin pantsuit, through her cat-eye spectacles calling the handsome young server “darling” and drinking some mighty strong cocktails over lunch. Her self-confidence allowed her a flamboyance I could only dream of.

Today’s earthly embodiment of the virtue of grace though would have to be the inimitable Sunalini Menon, an extraordinary woman I consider to be both a mentor and one of the world’s greatest coffee cuppers. I first witnessed her quiet self-assurance and profound knowledge of coffee at work in Singapore when I moved there from Papua New Guinea. Two gentlemen were trying to sell me coffee from Yunnan, China, which was coming on as an origin. “As good as a Costa Rican hard bean,” they blustered loudly. Sunalini happened to be cupping with and coaching me that afternoon, but they clearly didn’t know her and assumed she was just another woman who could be hoodwinked and bullied.

As we started to cup their samples, Sunalini gently probed them with questions on the varieties they had planted. Was it a first or second-generation cross as the Catimor cup was clearly coming through? Perhaps the parenting might have been from XYZ stock as that taste was in the finish, didn’t they think? And where had the progenitor plant material come from as it tasted rather more along the lines of IMN than XYZ, didn’t they think?

With every softly spoken question, her deference combined with her indisputable empirical knowledge of what she was cupping put the gentlemen further on the back foot. I watched their posture literally move from forward-leaning, imposing, nearly bullying to quiet, defensive, and ultimately defeated. The lids came down over their eyes, their body language shut down, they were silenced. It was a prize-winning performance, the likes of which I have not since seen. Never once did Sunalini raise her voice or humiliate. Instead, with soft-spoken words underpinned by the undisputed certainty of her palate and her knowledge, she whipped them. Always immaculately clad in the bright and decorative costumes of her native India, Sunalini’s personal and professional elegance is an inspiring beacon to other women in coffee.

Let me end by drawing a parallel that might help the reader hear my point of view. I have a dear friend, Phyllis, an African American coffee professional. Some years ago, I reflected on the fact that while I could sympathise with her fight and certainly try to empathise with the discrimination an African American experiences, still I could never fully feel it. Why? Quite simply, because I’ve never lived it myself, I haven’t walked in those shoes. It hasn’t been my experience in life, and as much as I sympathise, I cannot live that experience the way Phyllis has.

By the same token, although I’m certain that while my many male colleagues and friends in coffee all sympathise, they cannot know in full what I feel because they’ve never lived it. They’ve never experienced this through this lens. Through the lens whereby, after some 30 years in the industry, a man would still turn his back on a woman and direct his questions at a fellow man with arguably nil experience in coffee.

If I look at the cumulative lessons I’ve learned from the women I admire, what it boils down to is this:

  1. Know and love your subject matter because nobody can question that kind of integrity, and you will live with its certitude.
  2. Believe in yourself and don’t listen to the noise of others. You know your worth; the monkey chatter of others should wash over you and not stick.
  3. Don’t be afraid to have your style. From Erna to Sunalini and every other icon in the world of women in coffee, with the knowledge they have, style is an adornment, a cloak that embellishes their individuality and worth.

Note: these reflections are simply that and no more. And I dedicate them equally to the man I love, as to all my many coffee sisters. And most particularly to my mum, the woman who could do everything.

I also want to thank all my male colleagues for the huge support they give to women in coffee. The world is indeed changing, and there are several men out there – you know who you are – who I look up to every bit as much as I do to the likes of Erna or Sunalini.

Commodity Conversations Weekly Press Summary

Japan passed a new law aimed at halving the cost of food waste by 2030, compared with 2000. The country spends an estimated USD 19 million every year disposing of food waste, the third-highest per capita cost in Asia. Supermarkets are deploying robots and artificial intelligence to scan products on arrival and in-store to help them spot anything that has been damaged or that is going bad. The supermarket chain Lawson said that disposing of food waste was the group’s biggest cost after labour and that it would reduce stocks by a third to meet the targets.

Japanese consumers are known to be demanding, and many food manufacturers in the country discard products that are just one third through to the expiry period. The e-commerce company Kuradashi said, however, that things were changing with the pandemic; consumers are becoming more price-sensitive. Membership to its discounted unsold foods platform more than doubled since 2019 while sales were up 2.5 times. Kuradashi is also leveraging its platform for food banks and helps reduce the amount of food waste that needs to be incinerated, lowering CO2 emissions in the process. 

The explosion in online grocery shopping in China is pushing e-commerce companies like Alibaba to get actively involved in agriculture. Over USD 150 billion worth of agricultural products were sold on Alibaba platforms in the last eight years but an analysis by Bloomberg explains the government has been cracking down on monopolies in e-commerce platforms. Instead, it is calling on tech giants to invest in smart agriculture for which they can avail large government subsidies. Investments so far include smart poultry bracelets, irrigation sensors and artificial intelligence to help with planting. Thus, instead of being under the government’s radar, Alibaba received praise for contributing to reducing rural poverty. 

Greenpeace released its latest grocery chains’ plastic use ranking but complained that most groups did not disclose any information on their plastic usage. Greenpeace did commend Costco for making some improvements, including its target of reducing Styrofoam use. 

Coca-Cola, which often features at the top of worst plastic polluters’ lists, announced it would launch its first paper bottle on a trial basis in Hungary. The bottle, developed with Paboco, still has some recyclable plastic but the aim is to eventually be completely plastic-free. The trick, one of the company officials said, is to mould the bottle in a single piece and avoid joints. Otherwise, it breaks under pressure, especially with fizzy drinks. It took Paboco seven years to develop this bottle. 

In the US, Coca-Cola will be launching bottles entirely made from recycled PET (rPET), except for the label and cap. This should help the group reduce its consumption of new plastic by 20% in North America compared to 2018. In order to ensure a sufficient supply of rPET, Coke is adding messaging on bottles to encourage consumers to recycle the bottle. It is also switching the colouring of some bottles, such as Sprite, to transparent bottles as most coloured PET can’t be recycled. Bioplastics News argued that it didn’t make sense to try and develop a paper bottle when PET bottled can be completely recycled. This is especially so if the paper bottles require to cut down more trees, it added. 

Still in the US, the consumer group Center for Science in the Public Interest (CSPI) has asked the Federal Trade Commission to look into the so-called “trade promotions” system in supermarkets. CSPI said that food giants like Coca-Cola and Mars spend USD 50 billion annually to secure prime spots in aisles, a practice which, it argues, is anti-competitive and encourages the consumption of unhealthy foods. 

Third-party delivery service DoorDash, which went public last December, reported a 225% increase in Q4 2020 sales to USD 970 million. However, the group’s net loss is widening, at USD 312 million, from USD 134 million a year prior. The situation is expected to get worse with lockdown measures easing. It hopes to get around this with an expansion in grocery deliveries. Domino’s, which reported an 11% growth in sales in Q4, said it had never made money from delivering pizza – only on the pizza itself. As such, the CEO doubts the business soundness of third-party delivery apps. Instead, Domino’s is going in the other direction by reducing its delivery area and increasing the number of stores.  

According to a report by the LA Times, there has been a surge in scams involving third party delivery apps and restaurants. The scams include fraudulent credit cards as well as refund requests on the basis that the food was never delivered. One restaurateur said a customer bought USD 730 worth of food in one go via a third-party app. The customer picked up the food and then disputed the charges. Delivery services mostly take the side of customers, leaving the restaurants to foot the bill, the report said. And if that wasn’t bad enough for restaurants that have been reeling under the pandemic, there has also been a surge in the theft of outdoor heating lamps. With more restaurants forced to offer outdoor seating areas, heating lamps are worth a lot on the secondary market. 

This summary was produced by ECRUU

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Corruption in Commodity Trading

 

I haven’t yet received my pre-ordered copy of The World for Sale by Javier Blass and Jack Farchy, but it has already spurred some headlines about corruption in the world of commodity trading. The story that attracted the most attention concerns a former Glencore mining executive who admitted to the book’s authors that in 2003 he flew around the world with bags of cash to be paid in bribes to government officials.

The authors rightly point out that, although unethical and immoral, it was both legal and even tax-deductible in 2003 for Swiss companies like Glencore to pay ‘commissions’. The Swiss government has thankfully rectified that sad state of affairs, and Glencore has banned using local agents, the intermediaries they used to facilitate corruption.

Glencore started life as Marc Rich & Co, led by a brilliant but flawed trader who specialised in dealing in countries where most people feared to tread. Daniel Ammann has written a (truly) excellent biography of Marc Rich – The King of Oil – in which he tackles the issue of corruption. He writes

“Most commodities come from countries that are not beacons of democracy and human rights. The “resource curse” and “the paradox of plenty” are the terms economists and political scientists use to describe the fact that countries that are rich in oil, gas or metals are usually plagued by poverty, corruption, and misgovernment. If commodity traders want to be successful, they are forced—much like journalists or intelligence agents who will take their information from any source—to sit down with people that they would rather not have as friends, and they apparently have to resort to practices that are either frowned upon or downright illegal in other parts of the world.”

Mr Ammann is right: corruption has more to do with governments than commodity trading. The onus is on governments to cure the disease.

Way back in 1977, the US instituted the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (FCPA). It made it unlawful for a U.S. person or company to offer, pay, or promise to pay money or anything of value to any foreign official for the purpose of obtaining or retaining business.

More recently, China, previously one of the world’s most corrupt countries, has resorted to drastic action, instituting capital punishment for corrupt officials.  Other countries are taking less drastic measures, but they are moving, albeit too slowly, in the right direction.

Corruption in commodities typically thrives when governments get involved in, for example, awarding mineral rights, production or trade quotas or by setting prices.

It was omnipresent in the agricultural markets when I began my career in commodities. At that time, only the government had the right to import or export certain commodities in many countries. Buying and selling tenders were often rigged – and you were never sure how much money was being siphoned off or added on before it reached the farmers or the consumers.

Over the past 40 years, governments have exited the agricultural commodity trade; the business has been privatised. When business is in private hands, producers or buyers have little interested in receiving bribes; it is the price and the terms of the deal that interest them.

But what should you do if a government official asks for a bribe? In my book, The Sugar Casino, I told the true story of the first time someone asked me for one:

“After spending two years as a futures trader in Minneapolis, my company transferred me back to London with a brief to develop new markets in the Middle East and Africa. The company’s agent in one country (I won’t say which one) contacted me to say that they had surplus sugar that year and the government would like to export a couple of cargoes to earn much needed foreign exchange. The minister who was handling the sale was coming to London the following week. Could I meet him?

 “Despite being only 25 years old, I met the minister and took him to an expensive restaurant. We had an excellent meal, discussed the sugar market and tried to estimate the price for the particular grade of sugar the country was exporting. As we were leaving, he surprised me by suggesting that we dine again the following evening. I agreed even though I was unsure what we had left to talk about.

 “The next evening, the minister slipped me a shopping list of electronic items that he would like to take back with him from London. There were only four items on the list: a television, a radio, a stereo system and (bizarrely) an electric iron. He asked if I could help him obtain these items. I wasn’t quite sure if he asked me to go with him to the shops to choose the items or ask me to buy the items and give them to him for free. And if it was the latter, I was surprised at how little it took to bribe a minister.

 “The next day, I told my boss what had happened. I thought it was a bit of a joke. Still, my boss took it seriously, advising me to go back to the minister to politely explain that company policy meant that we couldn’t help with his request but that we would still like to buy his sugar and be very competitive on the price. I did as instructed and was not surprised to hear a week later that one of our competitors had bought the two cargos of sugar. I calculated they had probably made a profit of $240,000 on the deal. I compared that to the couple of hundred dollars it would have cost to buy the items on the minister’s shopping list.

 “I mentioned this to my boss, who told me angrily that I should never think about paying a bribe to anyone, no matter how much money was at stake. He called it “selling your soul to the devil” and argued that even if a television may not cost much, it was “the thin edge of the wedge. And from a business point of view”, he added, “It makes no sense.

 “First, it will give your client a hold over you. Second, if everyone does the same thing, you will end up competing against each other in the number of bribes that you pay.” He called it “competitive corruption” and said that paying a bribe would be ineffective if your competitor paid more.

In 2016, I interviewed the legendary sugar trader Robert Kuok for The Sugar Casino. He told me:

“One piece of advice: never hug the high and mighty; they electrocute you. Keep them at arm’s length. And always adhere to moral practices, and nothing can stop you. If someone asks you for a bribe, you should say that neither you nor your company could do that. But stay very polite. Don’t stand on your high horse and preach morality at that moment. Just turn them down nicely. If you get a chance later at a meal or something, you can pontificate a little, but not then – they are not in the mood to be listening to moral truth.

Sound advice, indeed.

© Commodity Conversations ® 2021

Commodity Conversations Weekly Press Summary

Global grain merchants continue to benefit from high commodity prices and tightening global supplies, as Bunge surprised market participants when it reported a net income of USD 551 million in the fourth quarter of 2020, compared to a loss of USD 51 million in the same period last year. The CEO highlighted the oilseed processing segment and exports out of North America, as he noted that a strong demand and tight supply will also help the firm in 2021. Moreover, the Brazilian sugar and ethanol unit, now operated as a joint venture with BP, expects to see its best year on record this season

Similarly, Wilmar reported a net profit of USD 1.53 billion in the 2020 financial year, up 18.6% on year, as all segments reported strong growth. The plantation and sugar unit also performed well which helped compensate for the feed and industrial products segment. The recovery of the Chinese economy and the reopening of restaurants and hotels could continue to support demand, the firm said. 

The government of Argentina suggested that firms like Bunge and Unilever were artificially hiking food prices by holding back on production. The production ministry launched an investigation to assess if and why the firms failed to produce at maximum capacity to keep prices under control. Some experts estimate that the country’s inflation rate could hit 50% this year and local investors warned that the measures implemented so far – like price caps – were doomed to fail. 

Cargill and Maersk launched a new service to simplify the procurement of fuel for the two groups’ combined tanker fleets. The companies hope that collaborating will provide better fuel prices and services amid an increasingly complex bunker market. The initiative will start on April 1 and will eventually open up to other trade houses. 

After months of insisting that the coronavirus could not be transmitted through frozen food, the WHO backtracked and conceded that some outbreaks, particularly in China, were possibly due to frozen food packages. A scientist who just returned from China as part of an investigation into the origins of the virus conceded that the outbreak in a wholesale market in Wuhan could have been sparked by frozen wild meat. Nevertheless, the agency highlighted that food transmissions remained exceedingly rare and would only be possible in specific and unusual circumstances. 

Animal welfare activists are using the pandemic to push for a complete ban on the trade and consumption of wild meat. However, a new study published in Current Biology argued that such a ban could have the unintended impact of damaging the environment, making food insecurity worse and, ironically, increasing the risk of diseases. Researchers explained that the protein from wildlife would have to be replaced by animal agriculture, which they describe as “the greatest threat to natural habitats and biodiversity, and also the most significant driver of emerging infectious diseases”. 

Another new report shines a light on wildlife that is often overlooked: the fish populations in freshwater. The report, called The World’s Forgotten Fishes, warns that our rivers and wetlands are in such poor conditions – because of pollution, dams and sewage – that a third of freshwater fish are threatened by extinction. In the UK, sturgeons and burbots have already completely disappeared, while salmon and eels are endangered. 

The good news, meanwhile, is that investments and technology are making aquaculture increasingly environmentally-friendly. When done correctly, an expert at Alphabet argued that “seafood is one of the lowest carbon sources of protein available”. The FAO estimates that 52% of the fish consumed in 2018 was farmed and that it will reach 60% by 2030. The Philippines is even pushing backyard farmers in highly urbanised cities like Quezon City to switch to aquaculture instead of keeping pigs. The drive is aimed at reducing the risk of African Swine Fever and a loss of income.

Aquaculture is enjoying a wave of interest these days but it is an incredibly old practice – just like the idea of using plants to make meat alternatives. This journalist travelled to Taiwan to sample what Buddhist monks have been working on since at least the 10th century: using soy to make mock meats and help transition to vegetarianism. The story also follows a Taiwanese immigrant who struggled to sell plant-based meats in her New York shop in the 1980s until she renamed her restaurant “Lily’s Vegan Pantry”.

Cheese lovers can read some excellent news this week as Wired published an article called: “Cheese Actually Isn’t Bad for You”. Studies seem to indicate that eating cheese has a neutral, or perhaps even positive, impact on weight loss, diabetes and heart disease. This could be due to the fact the cheese isn’t actually that calorific and contains bacterial cultures which improve the gut microbiome. The reason many believe cheese is fattening is probably that it is often added on top of unhealthy meals, like pizza. 

This summary was produced by ECRUU

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