Commodity Conversations Weekly Press Summary

Olam’s CEO argued that “the world’s food and agriculture system is broken” during a farmers’ event in India last week. Agriculture accounts for 25% of greenhouse emissions, uses 71% of the world’s fresh water and has already resulted in a 60% decline in wildlife. As such, he said, the world needs to invest nearly USD 50 billion in farm research to combat these problems against the current spend of USD 5 billion. At an event in the Philippines, he argued that companies needed to focus on environmental, social and governance (ESG) policies. Taking Olam as an example, he argued that it made it easier to get loans, reduced risk in the eyes of investors and unlocked opportunities in the fast-growing market for sustainable development.

At yet another event in Singapore, he asked all those involved in the rice supply chain to adopt the Sustainable Rice Platform (SRP) standard. He explained that rice fed half of the world’s population but its production was responsible for as many CO2 emissions as the whole of Germany. And because those who consume rice can’t afford a sustainability premium – unlike premium products like cocoa and coffee – it was up to brands and retailers to push for the change and educate consumers by procuring only SRP rice. “We must reimagine the whole supply chain,” an Olam official added. The company was also recently awarded an AGROW award for its involvement in helping small agriculture stakeholders.

Cargill has launched an alternative to fish oil for aquaculture feeds made from canola oilseeds. The company said that the plant-based product provided a much needed alternative source of omega-3 fatty acids to the fish industry at a time of growing demand. It is sustainable as it reduces the use of marine ingredients as well as entirely traceable since Cargill manages the whole value chain. In Ecuador, meanwhile, Cargill inaugurated a production plant which can make 165,000 mt/year of shrimp feed. Called the “world’s most modern shrimp feed plant,” it will contribute 20% of the 800,000 mt/year of feed produced in the country.

In India, the company has launched its first blended oil in the hope of capturing a bigger part of the country’s healthy oil consumption market. It also tied up with Safal, the retail arm of Mother Dairy that sells fresh fruits and vegetables, to sell its bran wheat flour.

In Ghana, Wilmar Africa is urging the government and private farmers to scale up the cultivation of palm oil to help produce its frying oil Frytol. The company currently imports 70% of the palm oil it needs. Wilmar also recently launched a cholesterol-free version of the oil in a bid to win over sceptical consumers, highlighting its health component and the fact that it was made locally.

The Danish Agriculture and Food Council along with the EU is trying to draft a system where a number on the label of a food product would reflect the impact on climate during its manufacturing. The policy would cover meat as well as plant products and would take into account water and land use, feed for livestock and CO2 emissions, among other things.

On a more global scale, seven food multinationals have come together under the Global Coalition for Animal Welfare to promote animal-friendly standards through the global food supply chain. Aramark, Compass, Elior, IKEA Food Services, Nestle, Sodexo and Unilever, which have a combined revenue of EUR 139 billion (USD 165 billion) and a consumer base of 3.7 billion people a day, will ensure animals are not caged, improve standards of chicken and fish welfare, antimicrobial resistance and adopt global criteria for transportation and slaughter.

In Australia, a 2017/18 audit found that half of Queensland’s cane farming businesses were not complying with the fertilisers law made to protect the Great Barrier Reef, according to Right to Information documents. No farmer has faced prosecution for flouting the rules or paid a fine, it said. The government launched a voluntary programme called best management practices under which it allowed farmers to decide the amount of fertiliser they wanted to apply within the legal limits. However, despite spending AUD 1 billion (USD 710.54 million) on this programme, there has been no indication of improvement in water quality, scientists said.

While the food industry has been the focus of sustainable and transparent policies, a Californian startup is hoping to bring the wine industry under the same lens. Ava Winery has managed to synthesise wine using molecular plant science, something they call “clean wine”. The founder explained that the aim was to make expensive wine more affordable, but also to bring transparency to the wine industry. At the moment, the use of a lot of ingredients, including pesticides sprayed on grapes, is not mentioned. The bioengineered wine should also use much less water and land.

This summary was produced by ECRUU

Commodity Conversations Weekly Press Summary

Analysts are closely watching Louis-Dreyfus this week as it reported a 37% drop in net income for the first half of 2018, at USD 101 million compared to USD 159 million last year, amid challenging agricultural markets and recent internal reshuffling. The drop in profits was mostly attributed to a USD 65 million loss in soybean hedges, although the new CEO reassured the hedging would mean that returns from the crushing segment would be positive for the whole of 2018.
But the decision to award USD 400 million in dividends for 2016 and 2017 was described as worrisome by some who warned against removing so much equity in a difficult market environment. The dividend payment is part of a move from the majority shareholder who is aiming to increase her share in the firm from 80% to 96% by raising USD 900 million before a December deadline.

Louis-Dreyfus is not the only firm who has been reshuffling its staff recently, as Alvean – the joint venture between Cargill and Copersucar created to focus on sugar trading – confirmed that six more staff members have left since the COO left last month. The firm explained the move as part of an effort to maximise performance.

Agricultural markets have also kept an eye on the Presidential election in Brazil, as the right-wing Jair Bolsonaro won 46% of the vote on September 30, putting him in a good position to win the second round on October 28. Farmers have largely expressed their support for the candidate, as he promised to strengthen land ownership rules and reinforce security for rural producers. Both the soya association Aprosoja and coffee cooperative Cooxupe said most of their members would vote for him.
More recently, his agricultural advisor pledged that if elected, Bolsonaro would lower the fines imposed on farmers found breaking environmental laws and exit the Paris agreement because of the way it aims to avoid deforestation in the Amazon. Meanwhile, coffee and sugar futures have gained some ground following the first-round results, which have also strengthened the Brazilian currency.

While the Brazilian candidate might seek to ease deforestation laws, Wilmar pledged this week to accelerate its effort to reach a no deforestation, no peat, no exploitation (NDPE) palm oil supply chain, following a protest by Greenpeace in Sulawesi. Nonetheless, the NGO said the proposed plan was inadequate because suppliers would not be required to provide maps of their concessions. In response, Wilmar said forcing all its suppliers to provide maps might not be legal, although it pledged to work on a process to reach the goal by 2019.

Wilmar said it would reach a NDPE palm oil supply chain by 2020, which is also the deadline many major food producers have for guaranteeing deforestation-free ingredients. Unilever, Mars and Nestlé all have a 2020 no-deforestation deadline, while Nestlé said 58% of its palm oil supply was already free of deforestation.

Supporters of strong environmental laws highlight the importance of a sustainable supply chain in securing and maintaining preferential trade access. This week has also seen the EU re-evaluate the duty-free access it offers to some countries, as it launched a six months review of the duty-free quotas given to Cambodia and Myanmar because of human rights concerns. Cambodian exports could thus lose duty-free access in the next 12 month, although the Cambodian President remained defiant and defended the country’s sovereignty.

At the very end of the supply chain, Walmart is instructing some of it suppliers to register product information in a blockchain-based data platform, operated by the IBM Food Trust Network. Under the Walmart Food Traceability Initiative, suppliers of fresh leafy greens will have until 2019 to comply. While the move will initially aim to improve the safety of products by avoiding or controlling disease outbreaks, the firm said the platform could be extended to measure and manage sustainability criteria, such as soil health or irrigation methods.

Supermarkets also have to contend with rising concerns surrounding food waste, which is where the Israel-based Wasteless hopes to help, having secured USD 2 million in funds this week. The firm has developed a software which allows supermarkets to vary prices based on the date of expiration of products. A trial in a Spanish shop resulted in a 30% drop in waste and a 6% increase in revenue.

This summary was produced by ECRUU

Commodity Conversations Weekly Press Summary

Cargill’s net income grew to over USD 1 billion in the Jun-Aug (Q1) quarter, up 5% from USD 973 million in the same quarter last year. The company reported good results in the oilseed and beef segments which helped compensate for losses in the sweeteners and starch businesses. The CEO said Cargill would consider making an unusually big acquisition if it allowed the group to grow in the probiotics and prebiotics market. He argued this was a high-value-added segment which was poised to grow with the increasing demand from health-conscious consumers for alternative proteins, especially plant-based meat. With fish consumption also on the rise and limited fishmeal supply, Cargill said it is focusing on improving the quality of feed for fish farming. An aquaculture expert from the group said the quality standard had already improved drastically, adding that “This is our bread and butter.

Cargill is reportedly bidding against Wilmar, among other groups, to buy the assets of Ivory Coast’s bankrupt cocoa exporter SAF-Cacao. In Cameroon, meanwhile, Cargill and Telcar Cocoa paid CFA 2.2 billion (USD 3.8 million) in premiums to cocoa farmers this year based on a CFA 50/kg (USD 0.08/kg) premium for certified cocoa. The companies, which have been conducting training programs to help farmers boost production, said this would go a long way to improving their livelihoods.

Having just secured a USD 1.425 billion revolving credit facility (RCF) to refinance its existing debt, Olam is said to be considering buying North America’s top independent cocoa processor Blommer Chocolate. Olam, which the world’s third-biggest cocoa processor, already supplies cocoa to Blommer and both companies work together on sourcing sustainable cocoa in Ivory Coast and Indonesia. In Gabon, Olam said it had doubled its palm oil production in the first half of 2018 after two plantations were revived. Meanwhile, Cosumar, along with Wilmar, announced it would build Africa’s first vegetable fat factory in Casablanca, Morocco. Expected to be commissioned in 2020, the plant will focus on exporting to the Middle East and the rest of Africa.

September saw the US’ first edition of the National Palm Done Right (PDR) Month, the aim of which was to “Celebrate the Positive Side of Palm Oil.” As part of efforts to reduce deforestation, Nestle will be able to monitor all of its palm oil supply chain by the end of the year thanks to a new satellite technology designed by Airbus and TFT. With this, the group says it will be able to spot deforestation as soon as it starts. Nestle hopes to source all of its palm oil sustainably by 2020, from 58% in 2017. Cargill pointed out that the hardest was traceability all the way to the plantation. As of the end of 2017, the group reached 96% traceability to the mill and 55% to the plantation.

The US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) will replace NAFTA following an agreement reached by the three countries on September 30. The updated treaty still has to be approved by each country’s legislature, which could take months, while most provisions are not due to take effect until 2020. An analysis, meanwhile, suggested that the new treaty is a reworked version of the previous administration’s Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP). And while announcing the new treaty, the US President set his sight on two new targets: the protectionist trade policies of India and Brazil, which he called the “toughest” on earth.

Trade relations with China, on the other hand, have not improved which is worrying US soybean producers who are starting their harvest and expect a huge crop. The head of Bunge said producers will start storing as much soybean as they can, possibly even in ground piles, although the move holds some risk as the trade war could go on for a long time. The USDA confirmed the report and revealed that soybean inventories reached their highest level in 11 years on September 1. The Bunge CEO also echoed the view of other large food processors and warned that trade flows might be permanently altered. The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange, for example, predict that Argentina will quadruple its export of raw oilseed next year.

Meanwhile, the WTO has urged the US and China to resolve their trade issues, as it lowered its global trade growth estimate from 4.4% to 3.9% for 2018, and from 3.7% to 3% for 2019, due to the ongoing trade war. The US is reportedly blocking the appointment of new judges to fill vacancies at the WTO’s Dispute Settlement Body (DSB), while the US ambassador previously described the Appellate Body as a rogue organisation. Of the seven posts at the DSB, three are currently vacant and a fourth vacancy will be created when a Mauritius judge completes his term at the end of the month, leaving the appellate tribunal with the minimum strength of just three judges and potentially crippling the trade body. A former WTO chief trade judge urged countries to unite against the US which he said was acting like a “bully.”

Commodity Conversations Weekly Press Summary

The CEO and CFO of Louis Dreyfus both resigned this week, while the chief strategy officer will become the new CEO. He recently was the head of the group’s Edesia Asset Management. Sources told the Financial Times that the departure was probably due to a disagreement over the investment plans of Margarita Louis-Dreyfus, whose stake in the company is expected to increase to 96.9%, from 80% currently, after buying shares from other family members. The new CEO reassured that the move was not a sign of an internal crisis, as he revealed that the group was seeing better financial results this year, partly thanks to the current trade volatility.

Similarly, Sucden announced that the current general manager will step down in January 2019, although he will still oversee some projects, and be replaced by the head of Sucden Americas.

Not much progress was made in international trade talks this week, as the EU and the US could not agree on agricultural tariffs. The EU previously committed to buying more US soybean, but US politicians now argue that a trade deal needs to account for all agricultural products. The proposal was quickly shot down by many in the EU who said that agriculture was never meant to be part of a deal. EU representatives added that the issue of food standards would have to be addressed first, such as whether to allow US chlorine-rinsed chickens or hormone-reared beef.

Little progress was made with China either, as the US imposed another series of duties without really looking to engage in negotiations with their Chinese counterparts. The head of Cargill warned that a protracted trade war could drastically change the landscape of US agriculture. He mentioned that the US would no longer be seen as a reliable trading partner, while the Chinese were unlikely to back down in order to protect their pride. The whole US soybean industry is at risk, he explained, as Chinese importers can switch to other protein sources.

Meanwhile, Greenpeace activists protested against Wilmar’s palm oil refinery in Sulawesi, Indonesia. The NGO accused Wilmar of breaking its 2013 commitment of ‘no deforestation, no peat, no exploitation’ (NDPE) after it was found to be buying palm oil from producers that have been linked to deforestation.

Indonesia’s president signed a 3-year temporary ban on new palm oil development, three years after the original ban was announced. Local administrations have been instructed to review permits and delay new ones, in part to reduce land rights conflicts between villagers and plantation owners.

Environmentalists welcomed the announcement, which comes just two months after India’s Solvent Extractors Association signed an agreement with the Indonesian Palm Oil Board and Solidaridad which recognised the Indonesian Sustainable Palm Oil (ISPO) as well as the Indian Palm Oil Sustainability (IPOS) Framework as legitimate sustainability frameworks for palm oil production and trade between Indonesia and India.

Over 70 companies in the UK, including Tesco, Nestle and Coca-Cola, have committed to reducing by half their food wastage “from farm to fork” by 2030 – a waste currently estimated to be close to 10 million mt every year. This is part of a voluntary government initiative asking the companies involved to publish data on wastage as well as action plans.

On a global level, Coca-Cola was also among the companies that committed last week to support the Ocean Plastics Charter, which aims to reduce plastic pollution in the world’s oceans.

In California, the Governor gave the green light for the state’s first set of Plastic Pollution Reduction Bills, which include a plan to phase out non-recyclable food packaging.

Another Californian bill requires adopting a statewide microplastics strategy. Microplastics have become all the more concerning after a study found that aquatic insects, which include mosquitoes, carry microplastics which were ingested at the egg stage in water.

This week, the Swiss voted against proposals that could have given Switzerland the strictest food standards in Europe. The proposals were designed to promote ethical and sustainable food through measures such as state support for family farms and higher import tariffs for food. An estimated 1,000 family farms close each year in the country, many of which are traditional dairy farms. If voted, however, the proposals would have resulted in higher food prices.

While the Jury is still out on whether the Swiss event means that people are not willing to pay more for sustainable food, several NGOs have filed a lawsuit against the Pret A Manger restaurant chain in the US. The chain is accused of knowingly misleading customers into believing their food is “natural,” on the basis they will be willing to pay more for it, when in fact traces of the weedkiller glyphosate were found in some of their products.

This summary was produced by ECRUU

Trade Wars

In Imperial Twilight: The Opium War and the End of China’s Last Golden Age Stephen Platt, a professor of history at the University of Massachusetts, takes a long look at the events leading up to the Opium War that Britain fought with China from 1839 to 1842.

I found the book rather long, and it only seems to get moving in the last chapter when the war finally begins. However it is an easy read, and exceptionally well written and researched. It is therefore worth the effort, particularly as the book has relevance to current events, namely the trade war between the US and China, as well as the US’s current opiate epidemic.

In the late 18th century, Qing China was among the richest and most powerful empires in the world. However decline set in with a series of internal rebellions, increasing corruption, and (arguably) a rise in opium use by China’s ruling classes. The opium was grown in British India by, among others, the East India Company, and sold from British (and American) ships to Chinese traffickers who brought it into China, paid off customs officials, and distributed it domestically.

At that time China was the sole supplier of tea to the world, and demand was rising fast with Britain’s industrialisation. China was also a major exporter of silk, some of which travelled overland on the Silk Roads. The tea was mainly exported by sea, and trade was limited to Canton; Westerners were not allowed to trade from any of China’s other ports. This suited the East India Company, which had a monopoly on the trade to Britain, but was a bone of contention to the “free traders” such as Jardine and Matheson.

The British and Americans exported Indian opium to China in exchange for the silk and tea that China exported. Opium was illegal in China but the ban was only loosely enforced, at least until the late 1830s when the Chinese decided to enforce the ban, confiscating heroin from the Western traders and briefly holding them hostage in Canton.

Twenty years earlier, in July 1817, when Napoleon (Bonaparte) was living in exile on Saint Helena, his Irish physician Barry O’Meara (who had accompanied Napoleon in exile) told him that it didn’t matter if the British had the friendship of the Chinese because they had the Royal Navy. Platt quotes Napoleon’s response to his physician,

It would be the worst thing you have done for a number of years, to go to war with an immense empire like China…You would doubtless, at first succeed, but you would teach them their own strength. They would be compelled to adopt measures to defend themselves against you… they would build a fleet and in the course of time, defeat you.”

But twenty-two years later Britain did go to war with China. After intense lobbying from free traders, the British government agreed that the Chinese had to be punished for their treatment of the British traders and be taught to respect British superiority, to no longer have Canton as the only trade port, and to open further ports for trade. But behind it all perhaps the real motivation for the war was to force the Chinese to pay compensation for the opium that they had confiscated and destroyed, and to lift their domestic ban on opium, allowing the trade to once again flourish.

The young British politician William Gladstone—later to become four-time prime minister—said at the time, “a war more unjust in its origin, a war more calculated in its progress to cover this country in permanent disgrace, I do not know, and have not heard of.”

The war lasted for three years and ended with a British “victory” that was enshrined in the Treaty of Nanning, signed on 29th August 1842. Platt writes that it “was the first of what would come to be known as China’s “unequal treaties.” There would be many to join it over the course of the nineteenth century, for it marked a watershed in the Western discovery that one could get what one wanted from China through violence.”

He writes that the treaty “opened five of China’s port cities to British trade and residence, including Canton, Ningbo and, most importantly, Shanghai. The treaty gave Hong Kong to the British as a permanent colony.”

The Chinese regard the treaty as a major landmark in what they call their “century of humiliation” (1839-1945). However, Platt disagrees with their interpretation. He argues,

Only after the fall of the Qing dynasty in 1912 did historians in China begin to call this war “The Opium War” in Chinese, and only in the 1920s would republican propagandists finally transform it into its current incarnation as the bedrock of Chinese nationalism—the war in which the British forced opium down China’s throat, the shattering start to China’s century of victimhood, the fuel of vengeance for building a new Chinese future in the face of Western imperialism, Year Zero of the modern age.” 

He adds,

“The Opium War was not part of some long-term British imperial plan for China but rather a sudden departure from decades, if not centuries, of generally peaceful and respectful precedent. Neither did it result from some inevitable clash of civilizations.”

The debate will continue for some time as to whether the war was about British pride, or about finding an outlet for opium, one of British India’s most profitable export, or about forcing China to open up to foreign trade. Whichever of those three alternatives you chose, however, none are particularly glorious.

The first question that comes to mind is whether Britain, the world’s leading military power at the time, had the moral right to force their terms of trade on China? That question may have relevance today in the current trade war between China and the USA.

The second question is whether the US’s current opiate epidemic can be compared to the opium epidemic that contributed to China’s decline.

I am not qualified to answer either question and I will leave the final word to the review of the book from the New York Times:

Stephen Platt has written an enthralling account of the run-up to war between Britain and China during a century in which wealth and power were shifting inexorably from East to West. But if this history holds a lesson today — as wealth and power shift equally inexorably back from West to East — it is surely the same one that Karl Marx identified just a decade after the Opium War, that men make their own history, but they do not make it as they please.

Images from Pixabay under creative commons

Commodity Conversations Weekly Press Summary

A new study by Cambridge scientists and researchers from 17 organisations across the globe found that high-yield agriculture is the most sustainable method of farming, as it uses less land and causes less environmental damage in terms of greenhouse gas emissions, fertiliser and water use. An example is the European dairy sector, where organically produced milk causes one-third more soil erosion and takes up twice as much land than conventional dairy farming.

Competitive logistics, and especially freight, is another important component to efficient farming. Brazil, for one, is seeing a revival in farming with a 35% increase year on year in farm credit in the June-July period. However, analysts warn that the country’s agribusiness performance will depend in big part on its ability to maintain competitive freight – something which is threatened by the government’s minimum truck freight rates. The higher local freight costs have already led to a surge in the import of cereals from Paraguay where transport costs are much lower.

The escalating trade war between the US and China is now seen by many as a major concern and not just a small irritant. Analysts now predict that the dispute will slow the US GDP growth to just 2% by the end of 2019, compared to 3.1% for the current quarter, according to a Reuters poll. China has consistently targeted the agricultural sector, just as Iowa’s corn and soy farmers are about to start their harvest. The National Farmers Union estimates that corn, soy and wheat farmers lost USD 13 billion in June alone.

On the other hand, some producers are seeing benefits to the new trade flows, like the US garlic company Christopher Ranch who welcomed the 10% duty on Chinese garlic. And in an unusual twist, Brazil may import 500,000-1 million mt of soybean from the US this year, according to Anec, which represents Cargill, ADM and Louis Dreyfus. An adviser explained that Brazil’s soybean supply was tightening because of a surge in export demand following Chinese duties on US origins.

While the USDA said it was confident it would be able to regain market access once trade issues are resolved, Chinese industry representatives claim that they will be able to completely move away from purchasing US soybeans. The vice chairman of a China-based Wilmar subsidiary said the country would support the government amid escalating tensions, while experts noted that feed processors could easily half the amount of soybean used without affecting livestock growth.

In a bid to improve supply chain efficiency, Cargill has tied up with South America’s Agriness to launch a digital farm management platform, initially to boost pig harvest and then expand to other species like poultry and dairy. Agriness, which manages 2 million sows, will provide real-time data on key indicators such as the number of piglets/sow, weight gain, and production cost. Cargill’s vice-president believes the platform will ensure food safety, food security, sustainability and transparency.

Cargill is also expanding in Poland where it announced it had signed a deal to purchase Polish group Konspol’s feed manufacturing plant, five broiler farms and two processing centres along with the brand and customers and suppliers.

With the use of satellite technology, Nestle said it hopes to prevent deforestation in its palm oil plantations, especially in Malaysia, Indonesia and Papua New Guinea. The company wants all its products to be deforestation-free by 2020 compared to 63% in 2017.

In Pakistan, meanwhile, the Supreme Court has appointed a forensic auditor to conduct a detailed inquiry into Nestle’s USD 49 million mineral water operations. The order came on a petition accusing the company of exploiting groundwater and selling water that is unfit for human consumption. The apex court noted that Nestle was paying a negligible tariff for extracting water while selling its product at high rates.

In the US, Starbucks has developed a six-pronged approach to make 10,000 out of its 28,000 stores greener by 2025. According to the strategy, which will be made public to encourage others to follow, the company plans to reduce energy use by 25%, use only renewable energy, reduce water usage by 30% and save food aggregating about 50 million meals/year. To reduce food wastage further up the supply chain, Rabobank is inviting startups to submit tech-based solutions for reducing food wastage in its Food Loss Challenge Asia.

Finally, Coca-Cola is reportedly looking into launching a functional wellness cannabis drinks. Coke is said to have held talks with Canada’s Aurora Cannabis. Its drinks became cocaine-free in 1929 when scientists found a way to remove all psychoactive ingredients from cocoa leaves.

This summary was produced by ECRUU

Commodity Conversations Weekly Press Summary

A coalition of 60 US associations covering all layers of the economy, from Silicon Valley to oil producers, formed Americans for Free Trade to publicly campaign against the ongoing trade war and urge the administration to ease tariffs. Many in the industry did not believe that the dispute would go this far, with the President now threatening to tax virtually all Chinese imports. The groups  warn of layoffs as they face higher costs and smaller export markets.

In a similar vein, Cadbury has joined the list of companies preparing for a hard Brexit and is stocking up on raw materials, including sugar, wheat and cocoa. The UK’s imports will increase by GBP 38 billion (USD 49.37 billion) if companies stockpile three months worth of goods from the EU, according to estimates.

Cargill introduced a software in the Philippines to help the feed and animal industries transition to science-based digital nutrition models. The tool will first be aimed at poultry and swine businesses and will ensure higher margins, according to a company official.
The company has also started meeting startups as part of the CO2 Challenge it launched in June along with Rainmaking and DNV GL. The challenge aims to support technologies which will help reduce the emissions of cargo vessels by 10%. “The solutions are there – we just need to uncover and implement them,” Cargill said.
In the US, Cargill’s Sidney plant in Ohio launched a new USD 10 million line which cuts packaging material waste and uses completely recyclable plastic. This will help customers source sustainable materials.

In Ghana, Cargill said it will expand its direct sourcing programme Cocoa Promise to include four more districts. Under this service, farmers can deliver products to warehouses, effectively cutting out the middleman. This comes at a time when the Cocoa Board is trying to fight the Cocoa Swollen Shoot Virus Disease by replanting 40% of the country’s unproductive cocoa.

The Dacsa Bunge joint venture will build a USD 14 million plant to process corn in Ukraine which should start operating by the end of 2019, according to market sources. Almost 80% of the 100,000mt capacity plant is expected to be destined for exports. Also in Ukraine, the Saudi Agricultural & Livestock Investment Company (Salic) has almost finalised a deal to acquire Mriya Agro, which grows corn and barley among other crops. The takeover would make Salic one of Ukraine’s largest farming operations.

The US investment fund Castlelake is looking into picking up controlling stakes in up to five sugar and ethanol companies in Brazil, according to a source. This comes at a time when a lack of investment in the sector is causing it to shrink. Looking at the finances of 75 mills in the Centre South, Itau BBA bank found that 18 units were not making enough to sustain production. With even profitable mills not investing to expand, because of the poor return on capital, some say that cane production next year could drop by 100 million mt.

During a trip to Morocco this week, the head of Danone promised consumers a series of changes, including lower prices and a more transparent supply chain. This comes after months of a boycott by consumers who accused the company of setting unfair prices, among other things, causing a significant drop in sales. The CEO said the crisis was “unprecedented anywhere in the world”. As such, and although he did not know why the boycott specifically targeted Danone, the company decided it was better to find a solution instead of fighting it.

Similarly, Nestle spent USD 34 million to remove preservatives from two of its main milk brands in Brazil, in response to consumers’ demand for more natural products, adding that developing countries were quickly catching with global food trends.
In the US, the company’s USD 50 million frozen food research centre is paying off, as data showed that frozen food sales jumped by almost 6% in the first half of the year, compared to less than 2% growth over the past two years. Analysts say the revival of frozen food is due to companies like Nestle investing in nutritious and healthy meals, a change from the comfort food that frozen food used to be associated with.

The number of people going hungry around the world increased for the third year in the row in 2017, according to the UN’s latest report. The main drivers were climate change and conflicts, with Africa and South America the most affected. The report also noted that obesity rates now increased to cover one adult in eight. An FAO expert explained that nations were now shifting to offering more humanitarian aid without addressing underlying causes, and should instead focus on promoting transformative investments.

This summary was produced by ECRUU

Commodity Conversations Weekly Press Summary

Although he admitted it was a “really bad tax”, the Argentine President announced that crop exports will now face a tax based on the value of the exchange rate, which will hopefully help generate some much needed revenues, unlock IMF funds and avert a crisis. Analysts noted that corn cultivation will drop as a result, as profitably will be down 50% and the crop has not been planted yet, unlike wheat.

South African farmers are also worrying about upcoming policies,  as growers’ body Agri SA and the Congress of South African Trade Unions expressed their opposition to the proposed amendment to the constitution which would allow land acquisitions without compensation. But the National African Farmers Union backed the nationalisation of some agricultural land. A parliamentary panel is reviewing the proposal and has received around 450,000 submissions.

The Coca-Cola Company will spend USD 5.1 billion to purchase the Costa Coffee chain, the world’s second largest coffee chain, making it the first attempt at running a retail chain for the 132-year-old soft-drink giant. Although coffee represented only USD 83 billion out of the USD 513 billion market for soft drinks in 2017, the sector is growing much faster and could help Coca-Cola diversify into healthier products. Coca-Cola is now in a position to upset competitors such as Starbuck or PepsiCo by opening Costa stores in the US, or launching a bottled coffee drink.

Cargill’s Carval fund is said to have purchased Abengoa Bionergia‘s Sao Luiz mill in Pirassununga and Sao Joao sugar mill in Sao Joao da Boa Vista for USD 80 million, according to sources. The fund will invest BRL 100 million (USD 24.34 million) in the two Sao Paulo mills, which have around BRL 1.5 billion (USD 365.1 million) in debt.

Nestle will introduce the South American goldenberry in some of its products, after it bought a 60% stake in the snack company Terrafertil. The fruit is relatively unknown outside of Latin America, but the Nestle Americas CEO explained that it will cater to consumers who increasingly look too organic products with high nutrient content.

In Spain, the number of pigs has increased by 9 million since 2013, bringing the total to around 50 million, or more than the human population of 46.5 million. The supply has grown as Spain is a particularly large consumer of pork, at around 21kg/year per person. Environmentalist warned of the impact of the growing pig population on the water supply and greenhouse gas emissions.

A French parliamentary committee decided last week that the voluntary approach to cutting the salt content in food has not worked, and legislators suggested that a proposal to enforce reductions could come as early as September. They suggested something similar to the sugar tax which would come into effect over a specified level of salt. The committee highlighted the case of the baguette, after bread makers failed to reach the target to limit salt content to 18g/kg 16 years after making the voluntary commitment.

Sulfoxaflor, one of the pesticides poised to replace neonicotinoids, is just as harmful to bee populations as neonicotinoids, according to a new study published in Nature. In February, the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) concluded that bee colonies were suffering because of the widespread neonicotinoids use and the EU decided to impose a ban later in April, which was followed by a similar decision from Canada.

Global food waste could end up costing USD 1.2 trillion per year by 2030, according to a new report by the Boston Consulting Group. The report lists a series of ways in which the sector could limit waste and save up to USD 700 billion per year, through specific solutions best adapted to the production, processing, distribution, storage and retail segments. The main driver, however, remains a general lack of awareness, the reports concludes.

Lego’s effort to switch away from using petroleum-based plastics could still be years away, according to the company, who has set a target to use only plant-based sustainable products by 2030. Although the firm has spent about DKK 1 billion (USD 156 million) on research, it is struggling to reproduce the exact feel of each block, which has more or less remained unchanged since 1958. The firm’s CEO said he did not know how the move would impact profit margins or whether the higher cost would be passed on to consumers.

And in case you missed it, Lego pulled an amazing engineering feat last week by building a full-size Lego Bugatti Chiron, complete with a working engine.

This summary was produced by ECRUU

The Pamir Highway

In Foreign Devils on the Silk Road, the author Peter Hopkirk traces the origin of the Silk Road back to Chang Ch’ien, a young Chinese traveler who was sent by Wu-ti, the Han Emperor to make contact with the Central Asian people, the Yueh-chih. The Emperor was looking for allies in his continuing conflicts with the Hsiung-nu, the ravaging Huns of our history books.

Chang Ch’ien set out in 138 BC but was captured by the Huns and held prisoner for ten years before escaping and continuing his journey. He eventually contacted the Yueh-chih only to find that they had no interested in joining forces against the Huns. Chang Ch’ien headed for home, only to be captured once again, and eventually made it back thirteen years after he had set out. Undeterred, the Emperor sent him out on another mission westwards and (as Peter Hopkirk writes),

Not long after his return from this mission, the Great Traveler died, greatly honoured by his emperor, and still revered in China today. It was he who blazed the trail westwards towards Europe, which was ultimately to link the two superpowers of the day—Imperial China and Imperial Rome. He could fairly be described as the father of the Silk Road.

The author continues,

Although one of the oldest of the world’s great highways, The Silk Road acquired this evocative name comparatively recently…As a description, it is somewhat misleading. For not only did this great caravan route across China, Central Asia and the Middle East consist of a number of roads, but it also carried a great deal more than just silk. Advancing year by year as the Han emperors pushed China’s frontiers further westwards, it was ever at the mercy of marauding Huns, Tibetans and others. In order to maintain the free flow of goods along the newly opened highway, the Chinese were obliged to police it with garrisons and watchtowers.

One branch of the Silk Road ran west from Kashgar, starting with a long and perilous ascent of the High Pamir, the “Roof of the World”. Here it passed out of Chinese territory into Central Asia…continuing through Persia and Iraq to the Mediterranean coast. From there ships carried the merchandise to Rome and Alexandria.

As Mark Twain is reputed to have said (but apparently didn’t), “History doesn’t repeat itself but it often rhymes”.

China (hopefully) does not want to conquer new territories, but it does want, and need, to conquer new markets for its goods. To do this it is investing heavily in new transport infrastructure eastwards through Central Asia and southwards through Pakistan to the Indian Ocean. Unlike (evidently) the US President, the Chinese realize that trade creates wealth.

Rather confusingly, the initiative is known in the western world as One Belt One Road, but the Chinese prefer to call it The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) or the Silk Road Economic Belt, or even The 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road. The original Silk Road was not one road, but a network of land and sea routes. The new “Silk Road” is the same, although it includes both road and train routes.

The relatively short (albeit 1,500km) section of the Silk Road that I travelled last month is called the Pamir Highway, and runs from Osh in Kyrgyzstan to Dushanbe in Tajikistan. It first heads south along the Chinese border across the Pamir Mountains, and then turns west along the Wakhan Valley. The valley separates the Pamir Mountains and the Hindu Kush. It  is an isolated part of the world with an extraordinary mix of cultures: twenty-five ethnic groups and twenty-five languages.

The route follows the tumultuous and unnavigable Panje River, on one bank Tajikistan and on the other Afghanistan’s Wakhan Corridor, a narrow strip of land that was made part of Afghanistan in the nineteenth century to keep the Russian and British Empire apart. (For more on this fascinating period of history read Peter Hopkirk’s “The Great Game”.)

The Pamir Highway was in dire need of investment and improvement. Much of it was unpaved and single track, winding its way precariously along steep cliffs that dropped into the river below. I have no idea how the over-sized truck and trailer combinations that we saw on the road managed to make it from one end of the highway to another.

Some sections had been improved, and more works were being carried out, but the Tajik government is apparently wary of Chinese investment.

They probably shouldn’t be. Tajikistan is devoid of natural resources and is one of the poorest countries in Central Asia. Improving the transport infrastructure would not just permit Chinese goods to be imported more cheaply, it would help the country to develop as an important trading centre halfway between East and West.