Author: ECRUU

In the UK, around 17% of the population has been stockpiling food and medicine to prepare for an eventual no-deal Brexit in October, according to a survey by Premium Credit. The total cost of the stockpile is estimated at GBP 4 billion, which has affected the cash flow of both businesses and individuals. Nestle warned that a no-deal departure would lead to “major challenges” for the food industry. Back in 2018, the group already said it had increased stocks to prepare for the March 29 deadline. 

In contrast, the National Farmers Union welcomed comments by the new Prime Minister who mentioned allowing the production of Genetically Modified Organisms (GMO) in the UK. Researchers in aquaculture biotechnology also welcomed the move and mentioned that GMOs could help address some of the most pressing issues facing our food supply. Nonetheless, experts warned that seeds would have to be developed specifically for the UK, which would take time, while GMO exports to the EU would have to go through a lengthy approval process. 

The White House weakened the Endangered Species Act (ESA) this week in order to minimise its economic consequence and improve efficiency. Farmers will most likely be able to use more pesticides in at-risks habitats, which could be bad news for the bumblebee, a recent addition to the endangered list. A new study suggested that the growing use of neonicotinoids pesticides has increased the toxicity level of agricultural land 48-fold in the last 20 years, which threatens the wild bumblebee. Farmers have increasingly been using neonicotinoids instead of organophosphates as they are cheaper and safer for humans. In response to the study, Bayer and Syngenta, the makers of the top three neonicotinoid products, said the toxicity loading method used by the researchers oversimplified exposure levels. 

The US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) said labels warning that glyphosate can cause cancer will no longer be approved. The head of the agency argued they were confident the product was not carcinogenic. California had looked into imposing warning labels on the herbicide but the proposal was blocked by a preliminary injunction. 

Cargill announced that it will no longer accept Canadian lentils that have been treated with glufosinate ammonium, distributed by BASF in its Liberty herbicide. Canadian growers were warned that the EU and Japan allowed the herbicide but under a very low maximum residue limit (MRL), while the US has not yet set an MRL. On the other hand, Cargill said it will start accepting soybean treated with fluoxastrobin fungicide after conducting a comprehensive scientific review. 

Singapore-based Olam saw profits in the first half of 2019 drop by 8.5% on year to USD 230 million, in part due to lower coffee prices. The CEO pointed out, however, that this was satisfactory given the current market conditions, adding that the group’s diversified portfolio was helping it cope well in the current scenario. Olam will continue on its path to diversify away from non-core businesses to be able to invest in areas of growth, such as its bid earlier this year to buy out Nigeria’s Dangote Flour Mills. 

Wilmar, on the other hand, reported a 52% drop in net profit to USD 151 million during the second quarter of the year as the impact of the African Swine Fever on soybean crush margins was bigger than expected. In contrast, the group’s sugar operations in Australia and Indonesia improved, along with the consumer products and oleochemicals sectors.

A Feed4Thought survey conducted by Cargill revealed that 55% of respondents thought the first priority of a farmer was to provide “safe, healthy, abundant and affordable food”, while 28% said the priority should be sustainability. A Cargill spokesperson noted that the two demands were not necessarily exclusive. The survey also found that most people viewed farmers in a positive light. In contrast, another study analysing social media conversations found that people were increasingly talking about sugar, albeit in a negative light. The study found that monk fruit and coconut sugar were among the most mentioned alternatives. 

The rising popularity of imposing a tax on sugar-sweetened drinks could lead the way to similar sin taxes being imposed on red meat, according to Fitch Solutions. Meat is increasingly being targeted for its impact on the climate, animal welfare and health. The idea has already been discussed in Denmark and Sweden, while a poll in Germany showed that a majority of respondents were in favour of imposing a tax on meat to promote better living conditions for animals. 

Subway announced that it will sell Beyond Meat’s plant-based meatballs in 685 restaurants across the United States and Canada. The news pushed up the share price of Beyond Meat, which has gained 545% since the IPO in May. While some are jumping on the plant-based meat bandwagon, this Australian chef is taking another direction by encouraging people to treat fish like meat. In his new cookbook, he introduces the Hot Smoked Fish Turducken: yellowfin tuna loin, wrapped in a cod fillet, wrapped again in a tail-on ocean trout fillet, and smoked for a few hours. 

This summary was produced by ECRUU

This week, China pledged to stop all purchases of US farm goods, on top of considering new duties for products imported after August 3. This is in response to the new US tariffs due to come into force in September. Goldman Sachs said the latest escalation made a trade resolution unlikely before the US elections in 2020. The bank had earlier assumed that resolving the trade deal would be in the President’s interest ahead of the elections. 

This will make things harder for US farmers and ranchers who were already struggling to survive. However, the President hinted that the government could offer more aid to farmers, on top of the USD 28 billion already pledged. The comment contradicted an earlier message by the USDA which warned farmers that no further aid was planned.

The bad weather and delayed planting is also making the situation difficult for US livestock producers who are looking to alternative feeds amid surging corn prices, as the country is expected to harvest its smallest corn crop in four years. Alternatives feeds include wheat, outdated pet food, leftover bakery products and imported South American grain. 

Brazil’ agricultural sector is one of the winners in the trade war. China’s Cofco noted that tax and pensions reforms enacted by the new Brazilian government will encourage investments in the country by providing more predictability and stability. 

Unfortunately, efforts by the Brazilian government to attract investors has led to a significant increase in the deforestation rate, according to official data from the National Institute for Space Research. The deforestation rate now risks falling back to the levels seen in the early 2000s, which could impact the sustainability pledges made by large companies. Mondelez, for one, is using satellite data provided by Global Forest Watch Pro, nicknamed the “Google Maps of forests”, to monitor its suppliers in Brazil. 

The worsening environmental performance of Brazil’s farm sector could potentially threaten its ability to trade and jeopardise the new free trade agreement with the EU. The Brazilian agriculture minister argued that the country was able to maintain its high standards despite the accelerated pace of approval for agrochemicals. The country needs to “win the communication war”, she added. 

Another trade agreement at risk is the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) which is being challenged by Nigeria’s protectionist stance. So far, all African countries but one – Eritrea – signed on. Also in Nigeria, Dangote Flour Mill (DFM) announced that it had received a final bid from Olam wishing to take over the firm for NGN 120 billion (USD 331 million). Now a global commodity group, Olam started in Nigeria as a cashew nut exporter 30 years ago.

A few weeks after launching a new chocolate made entirely from the coca fruit, Nestle announced a new range of Nescafe Gold which is entirely plant-based. Three new latte products will be launched: almond, oat and coconut coffees. Similarly, Marfrig Global Foods and ADM will collaborate to offer a plant-based burger in Brazil later this year. JBS SA also announced a plan to sell a plant-based meat patty, called Seara. 

In the aquafeed sector, the USDA has approved Cargill’s plant-based fish oil alternative for US cultivation. Using canola oilseed, Cargill is able to provide a source of long-chain omega-3 fatty acids, required in aquafeed, without putting pressure on wild fish stocks. 

The UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is due to release a new report this week analysing the relationship between land use and climate change. The main takeaway, researchers say, will be to repeat the call to switch to consuming less meat and dairy towards plant-based alternatives. 

Not all plant-based solutions are equal, however, as highlighted by this study of breakfast cereals published by the Union of Concerned Scientists. The paper recommends switching to oat-based cereals instead of corn-based cereals, because corn cultivation leads to nitrate runoff and water pollution, while oats are often grown as a cover crop which regenerates soils. 

Ever heard that the longer the soup cooks, the better it tastes? Well if that was true, this Bangkok restaurant would have the best soup on earth, as three successive generations have been stewing the same broth continuously for the past 45 years!

This summary was produced by ECRUU

Bunge reported a net income of USD 205 million in Q2, compared to a loss of USD 21 million in the same period last year. This was thanks in part to gains in soybean crush hedging and despite weak demand out of the US due to the ongoing US-China conflict. Bunge also benefited from its 1.6% stake in plant-based burger company Beyond Meat (more on this below). Bunge’s CEO said that the trade war, as well as the killing of hogs in China due to the African Swine Fever, were two big red flags. However, analysts argued that Bunge would be better-shielded than its competitors thanks to its strong South American presence. 

COFCO International is planning to invest at least USD 200 million in Brazil within the next two years. The head of the company’s Brazilian branch explained that the focus would be on infrastructure, transport and especially storage, adding that it had been on the verge of making an acquisition which fell through. A lot will depend on making sure any investment is sustainable environmentally speaking, he added. He also expressed concern over the solvability of independent farmers – many of which are going broke – as well as the issues with the minimum freight rates. When asked about the impact of the African Swine Fever, he said that shipments of soybean to China had been within expectations for the group. 

Marubeni’s US-based Columbia Grain Trading, on the other hand, announced it completely stopped soybean sales to China. Marubeni’s Gavilon unit, however, will continue business as usual. The group is facing other issues; a huge pile of soybean stored in the open near one of its Missouri grain elevators has been burning since mid-July due to a heat-wave. The pile is inaccessible because of the surrounding floodwater so the company decided to let it burn.  

ADM, meanwhile, continues to believe in a near resolution of the US-China trade dispute and that China will soon resume buying significant amounts of US crops. An analysis by Morgan Stanley, however, argued that such an approach put the group at risk. The bank forecast that the second half of 2019 will probably continue to be tough for US origination. Separately, Cargill told Bloomberg it was focusing on cutting costs amid difficult times, while sources said that two senior executives have already left. The company said it was “reviewing [their] business plans.”

Nestle beat expectations when it reported a 3.5% increase in sales for the first half of 2019 reaching USD 45.83 billion – a 3-year high. The sales growth in developed markets was at a 7-year high of 2.4% thanks in part to pet products and drinks. Chinese sales were disappointing, on the other hand. In China, Nestle launched a competition with Tsinghua University to find the best alternative to current packaging with a focus on sustainability. In the UK, the group has switched to using biodegradable security seals on its transport fleet in a bid to reduce the estimated 200,000 seals that end up every year in landfills. Both moves are part of the company’s target of only using recyclable and reusable packaging by 2025. 

Nestle’s CEO said that in the three years he’s been in the position, the main challenge has been to become much faster and flexible when innovating and launching new products to compete with new smaller companies. He pointed to two areas of significant growth and prospects for the group: plant-based foods and retailing Starbucks products. The plant-based market has attracted a lot of interest from investors although Nestle does not see it as replacing meat products but rather as a way of offering a wider choice to consumers. 

On the subject of investor interest in plant-based alternatives, Beyond Meat’s share value increased 775% since the group’s IPO (which was already the biggest in a decade) three months ago. Analysts were quick to point out, however, that the company is not even making a profit yet. 

Danone’s sales in the first half of the year were up 1.2% to USD 14.119 billion, driven in big part by the Essential Dairy and Plant-based Protein segment. The CEO said that plant-based beverages were a key driver, while the group continued to focus on innovation as well as expanding geographically. In New Zealand, Danone is investing USD 26 million to make its spray drying plant – which processes raw milk into powder – carbon neutral by 2021. The group is aiming to be completely carbon neutral by 2050 across its supply chain – from farm to fork. 

Mondelez, meanwhile, is planning to cash in on changing consumption patterns in rural India. Chocolate demand in India was 15% higher on year last year due to a reduction in sales tax from 28% to 18% but also because villagers are becoming richer. Mondelez said they will be doubling their presence within three years from 50,000 villages in 2018. It also launched a Dairy Milk bar with low sugar last month in India. Similarly, it launched its Dairy Milk with 30% less sugar last week in the UK. It took several years to nail the formula, the company said.  

Several NGOs have started a petition against the EU’s proposal to ban the use of meat and dairy names for plant-based products, such as ‘steak,’ ‘sausage’ or ‘cheese.’ They argue that consumers buy these products specifically because they are plant-based and that changing the labelling was pretty much an “insult to the public’s intelligence.” Taking it one step further, a councilwoman in NYC has sponsored a bill to completely ban foie gras on animal welfare grounds. 

Iran is threatening to source its food supply, especially corn, away from Brazil if Petrobras continues to refuse to refuel its government-owned vessels that are stranded outside Paranagua port. Some of the ships had brought petrochemicals and were planning to go back carrying corn. Petrobras says it won’t sell them fuel because of US sanctions and the Brazilian President said he is aligned with US policies on the matter. The Iran-Brazil Chamber of Commerce had earlier said that both governments were looking into a barter system to cope but the situation is now escalating. 

Bunge and BP confirmed a plan to merge their Brazilian cane milling businesses this week. The joint-venture, BP Bunge Bioenergia, will be the third biggest milling group in the country and will focus on ethanol and electricity. Bunge said this was a “major portfolio optimization milestone.” 

Olam bought the remaining 25% shares in Rusmoloko, a major dairy producer in Russia, becoming the group’s only owner. This makes Olam the biggest foreign investor in the country’s dairy industry, followed not far behind by Vietnamese group TH. Olam plans to double the group’s milk production in three years. 

Cargill announced a new initiative, BeefUp Sustainability, which aims to reduce the group’s North American beef supply chain’s greenhouse gas emissions by 30% by 2030. The company will be working with The Nature Conservancy as well as joining the Manure Challenge, a US-based competition to find the best ways to deal with manure through cross-industry collaboration. 

Meanwhile, sources said that Louis Dreyfus is yet again making internal changes, including appointing several new heads of department and merging palm and oil businesses into one, among other changes. 

Coca-Cola reported net revenues of USD 10 billion in Q2, up 6% on year thanks to a 4% volume growth. The CEO said this was thanks to a growing demand for their no-sugar drinks and smaller packages. Reformulated and new products now bring in a quarter of the group’s revenues, from 15% in 2017. Similarly, sales of healthy snacks, sparkling water and smaller packaging helped Pepsi’s net income increase to USD 2.04 billion in Q2, from USD 1.82 billion in the same period last year. PepsiCo said it will be spending USD 1.7 billion to buy South Africa’s Pioneer Foods as part of a plan to expand in sub-Saharan Africa. The strategy includes growing the sustainable farming program in the region. 

Coca-Cola and PepsiCo both left the Plastics Industry Association, a move which was hailed a victory by Greenpeace. Several companies have left the lobbying group over the past year amid concern over sustainability issues and reducing plastic use. Greenpeace argued the association was responsible for lobbying for laws in 15 US states that prevent local governments from banning or taxing plastic bags. Tyson Foods, meanwhile, is being sued for false advertising about its environmental commitments. The organisations behind the lawsuit argue that, with hundreds of wastewater violations and ongoing use of dangerous chemicals, the organisation is misleading consumers. 

A new report by the World Resources Institute said it was necessary to increase the use of genetically modified (GM) crops to feed the estimated 10 billion people the world will have in 2050. It forecast that the world needs to produce 56% more food than in 2010, for which it would need an additional 1.48 billion acres of land all the while meeting the Paris agreement greenhouse gas emissions targets. At the moment, only 12% of the world’s agriculture is genetically modified. 

Intergovernmental bodies met with NGOs and members of the private sector in Geneva last week to discuss a strategy to fight illicit trade. Smuggling and adulteration of food are major obstacles to reaching the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals, including traceability and sustainability in the supply chain, according to a recent report. 

Cargill reported operating profits of USD 476 million in the Mar-May quarter, a 41% drop on year due to the ongoing trade war with China, poor weather in the US and the African Swine Fever. The group’s financial services unit was the only segment to see higher earnings. Cargill had to close several feed mills in China due to the swine fever – some of which it is not planning to reopen. A company official said it would take two to three years for the hog population to recover. In the US, meanwhile, Cargill announced it was ‘swapping’ some of its Indiana grain elevators against ADM’s Illinois elevators in a bid for both companies to become more efficient. 

Looking forward, Cargill’s CFO warned that the trade war with China could have long-lasting effects in terms of shifting trade flows. The situation is particularly hard on US farmers who are struggling to get financing. Higher volatility due to the weather and political uncertainty are expected to be the ‘new normal,’ he added. ADM’s CFO agreed, saying that China would, from now on, ensure it is no longer dependent on the US for its soybean – or any other origin for that matter. He forecast that China will be focusing on boosting domestic production by improving yields. He added that this was also an opportunity for US agriculture to reduce its dependence on China. At any rate, a US-based agriculture economist argued that any trade deal with China would take years. He suggested it would be much simpler – and quicker – to reverse the new tariffs. 

If Cargill’s woes were not enough, the NGO Mighty Earth accused it of being ‘The Worst Company in the World.’ In its report, it argued that Cargill contributed to deforestation and was not doing enough to fight child labour, among other things. Another company facing heat is Nestle. Users of the popular website Reddit (so-called ‘Redditors’) have been calling for a boycott of the company via a compilation of humorous memes. 

Wilmar announced that the IPO for its China operations was on track for the fourth quarter this year after the Securities Regulatory Commission accepted to list its Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange. Wilmar said the IPO should help grow the group’s market share by making it more visible. COFCO, meanwhile, said it had secured a USD 2.1 billion loan from various international and Chinese banks with margins linked to the group’s environmental sustainability performance. 

Sources reported last week that Bunge has been in talks with BP about a possible joint-venture for its Brazilian sugar and ethanol assets. Bunge has been looking for ways to offload these assets for a while now and if this deal does happen, the JV would have a combined crushing capacity of 32 million mt of cane spread over 11 mills. 

The US Environmental Protection Agency has extended the use of the pesticide sulfoxaflor to several new crops for the first time, such as alfalfa, corn, cocoa and grains. The agency recognised that the pesticide is very toxic for bees but noted that it had issued guidelines to ensure that the negative effect on the bee population is limited. The EPA also said that farmers were facing tough times and needed the pesticide to reduce crop losses. Environmentalists condemned the move, arguing that it would be impossible to monitor whether farmers respected the guidelines. They also criticised the USDA’s decision to end the program to track bee populations. The Bee Informed Partnership pointed out that this program had been one of the only remaining ways to monitor the bee population, adding that the loss of honeybees this winter had been 7% above the previous year. 

Well financed multi-restaurant delivery apps such as Uber Eats and GrubHub are heavily subsidising the cost of food delivery, making customers believe that delivery costs are much cheaper than they really are, according to the CEO of Domino’s Pizza. He explained that these apps were very disruptive and were, in part, responsible for the company’s disappointing sales growth. However, he argued that the way these apps functioned was probably not viable in the long run. Instead, the group is focusing on what it calls “fortressing” – opening more franchises in a concentrated area to shorten delivery times. Delivery app GrubHub, meanwhile, could be facing a federal investigation for setting up as many as 20,000 fake websites with the names of its customer restaurants – a practice called “cybersquatting.” It is also being accused of overcharging for phone orders. 

A survey by the World Health Organisation found that baby and children products sold in Europe often contain too much sugar. Some products are labelled as suitable for children under six months, which is authorised by the EU but goes against the WHO recommendation that babies under 6 months old should only consume breast milk. This was probably good timing for Nestle to announce the launch of chocolate made entirely from the coca fruit and without adding refined sugar thanks to a new pulp extraction process. The chocolate will first be sold in 70% chocolate KitKat bars in Japan.

This summary was produced by ECRUU.

Austria will soon become the first EU country to ban the use of glyphosate, the world’s most commonly used weedkiller, after a favourable vote in the lower house of parliament. The upper house is also expected to approve the ban in a vote next week. In response, the farmers’ union Copa-Cogeca urged the EU to declare the provision as unlawful, considering that the European Commission approved the herbicide up to 2022. The cooperative suggested alternative ideas to legally limit its use, such as reducing private applications. 

In the US, on the other hand, a federal judge said he said he was planning to reduce the USD 80 million fine a California verdict imposed on Bayer. The group – which sells glyphosate as Roundup since it purchased Monsanto – has lost three cases concerning Roundup so far. One was already reduced from USD 289 million to USD 78.5 million, while Bayer is planning to challenge the third which involved USD 2.055 billion in compensation. A total of 13,400 people are currently suing Bayer over Roundup.  

American pork producers think they can deal with diseases such as the African Swine Fever with a novel technique: using genetic modifications to develop animals resistant to diseases. Although the technology is still a few years away, the FDA reiterated that it will not let the USDA regulate the approval of genetically engineered (GE) animals, despite calls from farm lobbyists who argue that the FDA is too slow. The FDA has only approved one GE animal so far: the AquAdvantage salmon, developed to grow faster. 

The commodity groups with the most soybean crushing assets in China are expected to be the hardest hit by the swine fever outbreak, while demand is expected to grow in other regions as livestock producers will boost their output to meet the extra demand from China. The head of Bunge noted that only 15% of its crushing capacity was in China, compared to 33% in South America and 27% in Europe. In contrast, ADM with its 25% stake in Wilmar – one of the largest soy processors in China – might be more exposed. Nonetheless, the EU and South America will not be able to produce enough pork to meet the demand from China, which consumes half of the world’s pork. US exports will be needed – even with tariffs. So in the longer term, ADM and Cargill, who have most of their assets in the US, might also benefit. 

ADM is launching a new system to improve the performance of shrimp farms in Asia, called BIOSIPEC. Through controlled feed and aeration mechanisms, farmers can improve environmental performance and boost profits, the firm said. In Europe, Univar signed an agreement to distribute seaweed ingredients developed by Seaweed & Co. Seaweed products are gaining in popularity because they meet a number of consumer trends: sourced sustainably in the Scottish Outer Hebrides and with six EU approved health claims. Seaweed is being used in various foods and beverages as a salt replacement, flavour booster or nutritional source. 

People with a high consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages, including fruit juices and sweetened tea, have a higher chance of developing cancer, according to a paper by the Universite Sorbonne published in the British Medical Journal. The researchers noted that no causal link was identified and that other factors, such as lifestyle, could be the reason for the higher risk. They did suggest that the impact on blood sugar levels could be part of the explanation, as they called for more to be done to tackle sugar consumption. 

Eating candy has just become slightly more environmentally friendly after Nestle launched a new paper wrapper for its Yes! Snack bar that is recyclable. The firm committed to using only recyclable or reusable packaging by 2025. Similarly, Coca-Cola announced that it will use plastic bottles in Australia that are 100% recycled. Other beverage makers, such as  Lucozade Ribena Suntory have been using 100% recycled bottles for a while, but Coca Cola highlighted that it was much harder for carbonated beverages because of the pressure involved. 

Pepsi is taking a different direction and will start selling its Aquafina water in aluminium cans in the US. Some argue that aluminium can be more environmentally friendly than plastics because a lot more of it is recycled. On the other hand, critics say the impact of the open-pit mines needed to source bauxite, along with the energy-intensive aluminium extraction, cancel out the effect. In the end, however, experts say that nothing beats tap water. 

The most exciting Coca-Cola news this week came from McDonalds who started selling Coca-Cola chicken wings in China. Apparently, cooking chicken wings in Cola is not uncommon in China. 

This summary was produced by ECRUU.

The EU and Mercosur nations – Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay and Uruguay – announced that they have finalised a draft Free Trade Agreement (FTA), a deal 20-years in the making which could potentially create one of the largest free trade areas on earth. One of the biggest winners would be Brazil and Brazilian meatpackers as beef, along with poultry, pork, sugar, cheese and honey exports would see lower tariffs when entering the EU. The country is also hopeful this will encourage investments in its agriculture industry. 

Commentators say, however, that the draft is likely to face further hurdles before it gets approved. The French agriculture minister already said the country would not sign on to the deal. The foreign minister added that the government would wait until it could see the final text, although it would remain vigilant to ensure that French farmers do not face unfair competition. And some European producers urged their governments not to sign the treaty, such as the sugar association CEFS. It argued that it was unfair to EU producers who are forced to follow much stricter environmental and social standards. Similarly, the European Renewable Ethanol Association said the EU industry needed to act quickly and find new markets in order to deal with competition from imports. 

Another positive trade news was announced by the US President who said he would postpone additional tariffs on Chinese goods after China committed to buying more US agricultural products at the G20 meeting in Japan. However, market participants are sceptical that China can really buy more given the current anti-dumping tariffs and rising corn prices in the US. In addition, the US Agriculture Secretary pointed out that China had not fulfilled an earlier commitment to buy more US products.

In contrast, China banned all meat imports from Canada as it found that a pork shipment received in June used counterfeit health certificates. The investigation initially started because the pork was found to contain ractopamine, a feed additive banned in China. While Canada confirmed that counterfeit certificates were used, the ban comes amid deteriorating relations between the two countries following the arrest of the Huawei CFO in Canada. The ban comes at a particularly frustrating times for Canadian producers as the meat demand in China is surging because of the African Swine Fever.  

Analysts warned that the swine flu is expected to impact the performance of Wilmar’s oilseeds and grains business, which is responsible for 49% of the group revenue, because of the drop in soybean-based animal feed from China. However, the pain will be short as the demand will normalise once the swine herd recovers, while Wilmar is otherwise well placed to gain market share in the country. The firm is focusing on packaged food, rice and flour, which is in line with current Chinese consumption patterns, the analysts added. 

Nestle published further details on its project to track the supply chain of products through a blockchain, which will start with milk shipped from New Zealand to the Middle East. A previous test used IBM Food Trust’s blockchain solution but Nestle will now use a system called OpenSC developed by the World Wildlife Fund (WWF) and The Boston Consulting Group Digital Ventures. Auchan, Albert Heijn and Carrefour already handle products with a QR code linked to a blockchain. 

Digital technologies like blockchains or Artificial Intelligence (AI) are among the five megatrends in the food sector as identified by the president of Syngenta Seeds and North America region. He listed the growing population, technology, new farm structures and sociopolitical pressures as the other trends. Meanwhile, experts participating in a farm and tech summit in the US noted that the living standards of food producers in rural communities will need to improve to guarantee basic food security. 

When the sale of organic celery in some US stores skyrocketed earlier this year, shopkeepers were confused at first. But this investigative piece uncovered the mystery: a single book published by someone with no medical background claimed that drinking celery juice was very healthy. While the trend was quickly picked up by major celebrities, experts insist there is no scientific evidence backing the health claims. It just goes to show that some nutritional facts last even when they have clearly been contradicted by rigorous studies, such as the idea that fish oil reduces heart risk which was disputed in this study involving 12,500 people. The New York Times put together a list of some of these strangely enduring ideas.  

This summary was produced by ECRUU.

The Brazilian government is looking at boosting agricultural exports by raising some USD 58 billion in funds to finance farmers. The loans will mainly be issued in US Dollar via debt certificates but the agriculture minister said they are looking for other sources too. The Agriculture Ministry, meanwhile, will not be responsible for demarcating indigenous land as proposed by the Brazilian President last month. Congress rejected the decree ruling that the Ministry of Justice will continue to manage it. This will likely slow the President’s plan to open up indigenous lands to agriculture and mining. 

The International Olympic Committee announced that the Chinese Dairy giant Mengniu Dairy, whose largest shareholder is COFCO, and Coca-Cola will be joint beverages and dairy sponsors from 2021 to 2032 – a sponsorship deal unofficially estimated at close to USD 3 billion. While the deal is widely seen as a much needed financial boost for the Olympics, Mengniu Dairy said this would help “build the positive reputation of Chinese food and beverage brands among consumers globally.” However, another Chinese dairy giant, Yili Industrial Group, said this agreement violated its own arrangement to be the sole dairy sponsor of the 2022 Winter Olympics in Beijing. Yili threatened to withdraw its sponsorship as a result

Euromonitor says China will beat the US as the world’s largest dairy market as early as 2022. This can appear surprising for a country where as much as three-quarters of people suffer from some form of lactose intolerance. But this is because the older generation was not used to consuming dairy products, something that government policies are reversing very fast thanks to measures such as introducing dairy in schools and recommending a higher dairy intake. Meanwhile, China’s dairy farms are reportedly cashing in on the African swine fever and selling some of their cows for beef. The price of beef has risen considerably and beef imports were up 75% year on year in April. 

Talking of milk, the US startup Perfect Day, which has been working with ADM, said they have managed to make lab-grown milk protein from microflora, effectively providing a vegan and lactose-free alternative to milk protein. The protein is only part of what is in cow’s milk, and some say that replicating milk fat may be even harder. But the company says the protein can be used as an ingredient in processed dairy or in the many other foods that use modified milk ingredients such as hot dogs. The shift away from traditional meat could happen much faster, however. A report by AT Kearney forecast that by 2040, 60% of the world’s meat consumption will either be from meat grown in labs or from plant-based alternatives. 

This might be timely. A new report by the ethical investor network Farm Animal Investment Risk and Return (Fairr) found that the aquaculture industry, which is currently the world’s fastest-growing food production sector – and a highly profitable one – has major negative environmental impacts. It is also a victim of climate change: aquaculture farming in south-east Asia could fall by 30% within the next 30 years due to the rising water temperature and acidification of the oceans. 

In a bid to solve some of these issues, Cargill tied up with French group InnovaFeed on sustainable feed options, with a focus on fish feed made from insects. In Brazil, Cargill is acquiring swine feed producer Beckers, which supplies over half of the country’s swine output. In Singapore, the company has opened a new innovation centre, its third in the region, to work with customers on reformulating products to make them healthier while keeping the same taste. 

Bunge Centerfield, the joint initiative between the group and its US farmers to collect farm-level data, announced it would be integrating Field to Market’s Fieldprint Platform which tracks various sustainability indicators. Bunge said this would enable farmers to analyse and compare their sustainability, while the information would also be available to downstream customers. COFCO International’s 2018 sustainability report, meanwhile, showed the company reduced its freshwater consumption globally by 4% and increased its energy consumption from renewable sources from 82% to 88%. 

ED&F Man is looking to sell some of its under-performing sugar assets as the agri-industrial segment reported another loss for the six months ending March 31, according to sources. The group’s latest annual report showed that it closed a refinery in Israel, a factory in Chile and idled a plant in Ukraine. Other sugar players, such as Biosev and Bunge, are also reportedly looking to sell some sugar assets. 

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) said it had given USD 2.5 million to the whistleblower who reported Cargill in 2017 over some swap violations. Cargill had been fined USD 10 million at the time, and the CFTC added the whistleblower would have been given more money had he not delayed the reporting. Cargill, meanwhile, issued a statement saying they had made the necessary changes and that they continued to support the government’s whistleblower initiative. 

How much would you pay for your coffee? There is a growing trend of coffee aficionados ready to pay up to drink unique coffee. One place in the US is selling an award-winning coffee from Panama called Elida Geisha for USD 75 per cup, officially the world’s most expensive coffee.

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China’s COFCO is reportedly looking to purchase a 25% stake in Russia’s KSK grain terminal in Novorossiysk, Krasnodar, for USD 400 million. The facility is the third largest Russian grain terminal in the Black Sea and would allow COFCO to boost the purchase and exports of Russian grains to Africa, the Middle East and eventually China. Cargill already purchased a 25% stake in the terminal back in 2013.

Neovia, which was bought by ADM earlier this year, will slow its acquisition rate, after purchasing 20 firms over the past four years. The animal feed producer, which has operations in the EU, Southeast Asia and Latin America, will focus on consolidating operations and growing organically.  

A company that isn’t slowing down, meanwhile, is Cargill as it announced a USD 48.8 million investment in building a new plant to expand its protein production business in China’s Anhui Province. The integrated poultry facility will be able to trace the origin of any goods in the production process within two hours, Cargill highlighted. In a recent blog post, the group CEO conceded that the industry was unlikely to meet its goal of eradicating deforestation from the beef, soy and palm oil supply chains by 2020. Some USD 30 million will be invested to accelerate efforts, he added, as he called for more cooperation in the sector to achieve the goal.

Similarly, Barry Callebaut and Unilever, are piloting the Field to Market and Sustainable Agriculture Initiative Platform Equivalency Module to better monitor the sustainability performance of US farmers. The groups hope the initiative will help align different agricultural sustainability initiatives.

Amid the growing backlash over the safety of glyphosate, Bayer is planning to spend USD 5.6 billion to identify new ways to fight weeds. The future of glyphosate is uncertain as the EU might not renew it after 2022 but the firm said the investment was not linked to the discussions around the controversial weed killer. Analysts noted that Bayer could not openly admit it was looking for alternatives without undermining the idea that glyphosate is safe.

Despite some encouraging news that the US and China will hold trade talks later this month, agricultural companies have been vocal in urging the White House not to escalate tensions by imposing new duties. The US Meat Export Federation noted that the US was missing out on the surge in pork demand caused by the African Swine Fever outbreak in China due to the 62% retaliatory tariffs.

But it’s not all bad news for US farmers, as the country will be guaranteed 80% of the EU hormone-free beef import quota over 7 years. The increase was only possible after other exporters, Australia, Argentina and Uruguay, agreed to lower their shares. Moreover, an increasing number of US farmers are looking into cultivating hemp, which can potentially generate much higher profits than corn or wheat, according to a processor. Vote Hemp estimates that the total acreage could double in 2019, although the USDA is yet to regulate the plant which leaves states responsible for drafting rules.

In the short term, however, the American Farm Bureau Federation expects the White House might have to offer farmers a third bailout package as the upcoming elections could make the negotiations of new trade deals unlikely. This could be a problem as several countries, including China and the EU, are already questioning whether the farm subsidy package of USD 16 billion is within the amount allowed under WTO rules. They have asked for more information on the program, which the US is yet to officially notify. Similarly, India is facing questions at the WTO about how it intends to fulfil its promise of doubling farm incomes by 2022 and its various farm subsidies.

To address the issue around subsidies, the US and the EU are supporting a proposal by Japan to overhaul the way each WTO member country reports its subsidy policies. The proposal would either suggest a single subsidy threshold for all countries (instead of the 5% for developed countries and 10% for developing countries) or a change in the formula used to calculate it. The proposal will be discussed at the next G20 meeting.

Finally, the rocket scientist behind the popular Youtube channel Smarter Every Day explains the incredible science involved in grain bins, in this video called Farmers are Geniuses.

This summary was produced by ECRUU

The US President signed an executive order this week to simplify and accelerate the process to approve genetically modified livestock and seeds. According to the order, the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) and the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) need to set up “common sense regulations.” Earlier, the US Department of Agriculture had already proposed to significantly relax genetically engineered rules in a bid to make it cheaper for companies to develop new crops and for farmers to have more options. The idea was that companies would no longer need the FDA and EPA approvals for genetically engineered crops that are similar to crops that could be made through traditional breeding – leaving it up to the companies to determine whether this was the case or not.

An area where US farmers do want more regulation, on the other hand, is to limit foreign ownership of US land. As of 2016, the USDA estimated that some 2.3 million acres of land was in foreign hands, including 190,000ha under Chinese investments. However, some say the numbers are inaccurate and could be higher. This is also expected to be an issue in the presidential race with at least one candidate proposing to ban foreigners from buying farmland at a federal level.

In an interview with Forbes, Cargill’s recently appointed chairman of Asia Pacific (the group’s first board-level executive not to be based in the US) said that Asia was increasingly important as a home for food grown in the US where yields are growing faster than consumption. He said the group was focusing on developing “Asian run” businesses and was looking to build more partnerships with both governments and private organisations.

Cargill’s Aqua Nutrition is 43% on track to being entirely Marine Stewardship Council certified, a goal it has set for 2025. The division, which produces almost 5% of the world’s aquafeed, managed to reduce its freshwater usage by 15% and its greenhouse gas emissions by 6% in 2018. Cargill also managed to cut CO2 emissions from its chartered shipping fleet by 12.1% in 2018, on track to reach 15% in 2020 and part of the International Maritime Organisation’s target of a 50% reduction by 2050. The head of the ocean transportation business said, however, that “we must do more.”

In the US, Cargill has launched several high-protein low-carb meat snacks after a survey showed that almost everyone snacks during the day, with some people eating 4-5 snacks a day. Close to half of those surveyed are looking – and ready to pay a premium – for healthier options.

Wilmar is looking for opportunities in China’s struggling animal feed market – in part due to the African swine fever – to invest in building new soybean crushing plants. A source said the strategy was to focus on poultry feed instead of hogs as chicken demand is growing faster. The group could also be looking at setting up an oilseed plant in Vietnam. In Australia, Wilmar, which is Queensland’s third largest rail network owner-operator, has installed cameras on all the sugarcane trains so that footage can be used in case of an accident with pedestrians.

Via its Prize for Innovation in Food Security award, Olam is investing in Innovation Mapping for Food Security (IM4FS), a technology that is being developed to help small farmers work out which is the best crop to grow on a field at a given time. Olam’s CEO said this was exactly the kind of technology required at a time of climate change and biodiversity loss.

Global chocolate producers are likely to miss their 2020 deadline to eradicate child labour from their supply chain, the fourth time they miss the deadline after trying in 2005, 2008 and 2010. A report in the Washington Post said that none of the main chocolate producers could guarantee that their supply chain was child labour free and that they felt the existing certification agencies were insufficient. Part of the problem is that traceability from farms is a major challenge and that small farms often found a way around the certification criteria. Similarly, most companies’ “no deforestation” pledge by 2020 deadline is going to be missed, with Greenpeace estimating that 50 million ha of forest has been lost in the last 10 years. However, with the Global Forest Watch platform launching a real-time platform using satellite imagery to track deforestation, “there are no more excuses,” the organisation said. They added that companies like Cargill and Louis Dreyfus are already using it for a wide range of commodities, including beef.

A new study found that the average adult in America ingests at least 50,000 microplastic particles every year through food, with actual numbers likely to be close to three times that amount. The worst is for those who drink water from plastic bottles, which have 22 times more microplastic than tap water. No one really knows how bad the plastic is, however, and some scientists say the risk could be overplayed. But better be safe than sorry – the Canadian government is apparently going to ban single-use plastics by 2021. That would include straws, cotton swabs and single-use cutlery, among many other things. Plastic is also a major issue in organic farming which uses more plastic mulch to compensate for not using weed killers. One organic farmer in the US said that the plastic film used on a 30-acre plot would spread over 58km in a straight line, all of which ends up in landfills later on.

Last but certainly not least, a Mongolian NGO is re-introducing the traditional guard and shepherd Bhankar dog which was phased out during the Soviet era. The number of livestock in the grasslands has increased threefold in the last 17 years in part because herders want to anticipate the loss of animals to predators. This, in turn, accelerates desertification. Bhankar dogs are such a source of pride that some families who had moved to the city are reportedly being convinced back into herding life just to be given one. Check them out here.